Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Premier League game on September 16, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
1
3
Sep 16, 2PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Sep 16, 2PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
J. Duran (88')
Douglas Luiz (pen.) (90')
L. Bailey (90')
O. Edouard (48')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: N. Ahamada replaces O. Edouard
90'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz (pen.)
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
J. Ward (Crystal Palace) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Rak-Sakyi replaces C. Doucoure
90'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by M. Diaby
1-3
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces O. Watkins
90'
Yellow Card
J. Duran (Aston Villa) cautioned
88'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. Duran, assisted by L. Digne
1-1
86'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces J. McGinn
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces B. Kamara
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces N. Zaniolo
53'
Yellow Card
W. Hughes (Crystal Palace) cautioned
48'
Goal scored for Crystal Palace by O. Edouard, assisted by J. Mateta
1-0
45'
Yellow Card
N. Zaniolo (Aston Villa) cautioned
35'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
25'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Mateta replaces J. Ayew
17'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
E. Eze (Crystal Palace) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa -105, Crystal Palace +300, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 47.1%
  • Crystal Palace: 27.1%
  • Draw: 25.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Crystal Palace, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 47.1%, while Crystal Palace has a win probability of 27.1%. The chance of a draw is 25.7%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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