Burnley vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on August 27, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
3
1
Aug 27, 1PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Aug 27, 1PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
L. Foster (47')
M. Cash (8')
M. Cash (20')
M. Diaby (61')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces Douglas Luiz
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces O. Watkins
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: B. Traore replaces L. Digne
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces Z. Amdouni
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces L. Foster
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces M. Diaby
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Ramsey replaces S. Berge
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: N. Redmond replaces L. Koleosho
61'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Diaby, assisted by L. Digne
3-1
47'
Goal scored for Burnley by L. Foster, assisted by J. B. Gudmundsson
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. B. Gudmundsson replaces B. Manuel Hedilazio
45'
Yellow Card
S. Berge (Burnley) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
J. Cullen (Burnley) cautioned
20'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash, assisted by M. Diaby
2-0
8'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash, assisted by O. Watkins
1-0

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Burnley vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, August 27, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +220, Aston Villa +125, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-135/+102)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 28.4%
  • Aston Villa: 47.9%
  • Draw: 23.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 28.4%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 47.9%. The chance of a draw is 23.7%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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