Burnley vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Arsenal Premier League game on February 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
5
0
Feb 17, 3PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Feb 17, 3PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Odegaard (4')
B. Saka (pen.) (41')
B. Saka (47')
L. Trossard (66')
K. Havertz (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Smith Rowe replaces K. Havertz
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces W. Odobert
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Jorginho replaces D. Rice
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Vitinho replaces L. Assignon
78'
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by J. Kiwior
5-0
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces B. Saka
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Cedric replaces B. White
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces L. Trossard
66'
Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard, assisted by K. Havertz
4-0
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces A. Ramsey
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: C. Taylor replaces M. Esteve
47'
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka, assisted by M. Odegaard
3-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. B. Gudmundsson replaces Z. Amdouni
45'
Yellow Card
B. Saka (Arsenal) cautioned
41'
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka (pen.)
2-0
39'
Yellow Card
L. Assignon (Burnley) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
A. Ramsey (Burnley) cautioned
4'
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Odegaard, assisted by G. Martinelli
1-0

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Burnley vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, February 17, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +1100, Arsenal -350, Draw +500

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 9.5%
  • Arsenal: 74.2%
  • Draw: 16.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 0-2 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 9.5%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 74.2%. The chance of a draw is 16.3%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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