NFL Best Bets

Access the top NFL best bets for 2024 at Dimers.com, where expert insights and predictive models guide you to the best NFL Week 16 bets across every game.

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All Value (9)
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Last Updated: 3:45PM, Dec 21
PIT vs. BAL
Dec 21, 9:30PM
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Over 44
High Value
Probability:
56.4%
Edge:
4.1%
Best odds:
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Titans +3.5
High Value
Probability:
58.9%
Edge:
7.7%
Best odds:
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Commanders win
Underdog
Probability:
41.2%
Edge:
3.9%
Best odds:
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Eagles vs. Commanders Best Bet
NE vs. BUF
Dec 22, 9:25PM
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Patriots vs. Bills Best Bet
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Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Best Bet
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Chiefs vs. Steelers Best Bet
BAL vs. HOU
Dec 25, 9:30PM
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Ravens vs. Texans Best Bet
SEA vs. CHI
Dec 27, 1:15AM
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Seahawks vs. Bears Best Bet

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Written by Mac Douglass
Reviewed by Nick Slade
The betting data on this page is based on current information, including up-to-date injury reports, weather alerts, and our most recent simulation results. But betting with your own money always involves risk. Think carefully before making any wager.

How to Use Dimers' NFL Best Bets:

Learn how to make the most of Dimers' NFL Best Bets with this quick guide. The video below will show you how to find the best bets and edges, place your bets with confidence, and maximize potential winnings.

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    Use Dimers’ NFL Best Bets

    Use the filters and sorting options to discover our NFL best bets today.

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    Analyze the Data

    Review the latest data and edges for each NFL bet.

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    Place Your Bets

    Use the insights from our NFL Best Bets page to confidently place your bets and maximize your potential winnings.

Understanding NFL Best Bets: Real Examples

Our “Best Bets” are the upcoming best bets we have identified with the largest betting edges. Here's an example of how our best bets appear on this page:

NFL
Bengals vs. Ravens
Oct 7, 4AM
Bengals WIN
Probability:
57.6%
Edge:
2.6%
Best odds :

Best Bet Probabilities

The probabilities on this page indicate the likelihood of a bet winning based on our simulation results.

In this example, our simulations identify the Bengals with a 57.6% chance of beating the Ravens. Because we give the Bengals a stronger chance to win than the sportsbook odds of -122, we’ve detected an edge, which means this wager has a higher potential payout than our projections indicate it should.

Understanding Signals

Dimers Signals is a set of unique identifiers, providing a strategic way to identify bets from our model that resonate with you. Designed by Dimers team of experts, each Signal is tailored to offer insights into our team or player prop bets, according to our predictive model. Learn more about Signals.

NBA
Wizards vs. Knicks
Nov 19, 11:30AM
Wizards +13.5
value-bet-icon High Value
Probability:
56.0%
Edge:
4.8%
Best odds :

Understanding the High Value

Our prediction model thinks this play has a much better chance of winning than the listed sportsbook odds. It is considered a value bet.

How a Dimers Insider Uses Our Best Bets

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Senior Editor
"Taking the under on an NFL point total with a strong edge might not feel thrilling at first. But telling your friends you just made $100 by betting the Saints and Chiefs to score fewer than 42.5 points definitely will. That’s why my second tip is to keep an eye out for prop bets, even if they don’t seem the most exciting at first glance."

We Use Multiple Sportsbooks; You Should Too

To get you the best value, we compare odds from all major US sportsbooks; only the best odds make it to this page. If you see an appealing bet from a sportsbook you don't have an account with, we encourage you to sign up.

This is usually a no-brainer, because most sportsbooks offer generous new-user promos that will reduce the risk and increase the potential payout of your first bet (or several).

Still, we want to be transparent that we may earn a commission if you create accounts with the links on this page. Thanks! That revenue allows us to keep helping you find the edge.

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Reasons to Trust Our NFL Best Bets

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We are objective
Our in-house teams of data scientists and industry experts use an objective, unbiased methodology to identify edges on prop bets.
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We are up to date
We update our models daily with the latest news, including injuries, weather updates, and much more.
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We are thorough
We conduct 10,000 simulations of every event that appears on this page, including manual checks and human override to ensure accuracy.
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We are backed by data
Our analysts synthesize millions of raw, live, and historical data points every year to generate our projections.

NFL Best Bets

Kick off for NFL Week 16 is fast approaching, and savvy bettors are always on the lookout for opportunities to capitalize on discrepancies between their own assessments and the odds provided by sportsbooks. This week, we’ve identified our best bets that offer significant edges, not just in marquee matchups but across the board. 

Why Trust Dimers' NFL Best Bets?

A "bet" and a "prediction" differ fundamentally in their approach and purpose and we're here to explain the difference.

A bet considers the likelihood of an outcome versus the potential payout, seeking opportunities where the odds provided by the sportsbook might underestimate the true probability of an event happening. This means that a bet could be placed on an underdog or a specific point spread not because they are predicted to win outright, but because the odds present a favorable risk-reward ratio.

A prediction, derived from algorithms, focuses on identifying which team is likely to win based on statistical models, player performance, and other factors. It's an assessment of the most probable outcome of a game. In contrast, a "bet" goes beyond just predicting the winner; it involves identifying value relative to the sportsbook's odds.

Dimers' NFL best bets today are the product of rigorous analysis and sophisticated algorithms. Unlike standard NFL predictions or NFL picks, our NFL best bets focus on identifying value against the sportsbooks' odds.

Essentially, while predictions tell you who might win, bets are about finding and exploiting value in the market - and this is Dimers' speciality.

What Are The Different Types of NFL Best Bets?

Dimers covers a variety of NFL best bets to suit different betting strategies. Below, we explain the types of bets you can find on this page and how they can enhance your NFL betting experience.

NFL Moneyline Best Bets

When it comes to NFL moneyline bets, it's all about picking the outright winner. But finding the best value is where the magic happens. At Dimers, our model pinpoints games where the moneyline odds don't quite match up with a team's true chances. For instance, if our data shows a team has a 60% shot at winning but the odds don't reflect that strength, it's a prime opportunity for a best bet. It's about spotting undervalued teams and cashing in on the edge.

NFL Spread Best Bets

Betting against the spread isn't just about picking the winner—it's about predicting how well a team performs relative to the line. Dimers' NFL spread best bets highlight games where the odds of a team covering the spread are more favorable than the oddsmakers suggest. Whether it's a tight game where a small advantage matters or a matchup where a team is set to exceed expectations, our data-driven insights pinpoint where the real value lies.

NFL Over/Under Best Bets

In the over/under market, it's all about the total points scored. At Dimers, we focus on value—finding the bets where the odds offer the best potential return. Our over/under best bets target games where, in some cases, even if the probability of winning is less than 50%, the odds are so favorable that the bet still provides excellent value. For example, if the sportsbook sets the total at 42 points and our data indicates that betting the over offers a strong value proposition, that could be your best move. It's about leveraging our probability insights to maximize your potential return.

How to Use Our NFL Best Bets

Dimers Pro's NFL Best Bets is a premium product designed for serious bettors who want to gain an edge against the sports betting sites. By leveraging advanced data and analytics, paid users can identify valuable betting opportunities and make informed decisions.

One of the key advantages of using Dimers Pro is the ability to compare odds across multiple sportsbooks. This allows you to find the best possible value for your bets and maximize your potential returns. It's a strategy that can significantly enhance your betting experience and profitability.

However, it's crucial to approach betting responsibly. Always set limits on how much you wager and avoid chasing losses. Betting should be a fun and engaging activity, not a source of stress. Make sure to gamble responsibly and seek help if you feel it's becoming a problem.

Why Dimers Is Your Home of NFL Betting

Dimers.com is your go-to destination for comprehensive NFL betting resources. Beyond the premium NFL Best Bets, Dimers offers a wide range of products designed to enhance your betting strategy:

  • Predictions and Picks: Get expert insights, NFL predictions, and detailed analyses to guide your betting decisions.
  • Parlays: Explore curated NFL parlays to maximize your potential payouts.
  • Trends: Stay updated with the latest NFL trends to understand how teams and players are performing.
  • Odds: Access up-to-date NFL odds from various sportsbooks to find the best value for your bets.
  • Futures: Keep track of long-term betting opportunities and potential outcomes for the season with NFL futures.
  • News: Stay informed with the latest NFL news to factor in current developments into your bets.

Dimers.com is dedicated to providing all the tools and information you need for smart, strategic NFL betting. Whether you're looking for expert predictions, real-time odds, or in-depth trends, Dimers has you covered.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass brings a well-traveled perspective and deep knowledge of sports to his role at Dimers. Specializing in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, Mac uses predictive simulations and data-driven analysis to deliver detailed game breakdowns. His expertise also extends to MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis coverage, offering sharp insights to bettors looking for an edge.

Mac’s commitment to providing valuable, well-researched content shines through in his work, helping fans and bettors stay informed and confident in their decisions. Having lived in New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Melbourne, Mac’s diverse experiences enrich his understanding of the global sports landscape, making him a trusted voice in the industry.

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