Home run predictions for Monday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [7/21/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, July 21, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

We don't guess. Monday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for July 21, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.6% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (23.8%) and Kyle Schwarber (22.3%).

Cal Raleigh and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Monday's home run picks [7/21/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Max Muncy (Athletics) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.2%
• Odds: +775
• Edge: 4.8%
• Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Jack Leiter

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, slugger Max Muncy offers serious value at +775 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

In a matchup against Rangers starter Jack Leiter, Muncy shapes up as one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-backed MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 78 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Monday, July 21, 2025]

• Padres vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Tigers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Orioles vs. Guardians (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Reds vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Monday)
• Red Sox vs. Phillies (6:45PM ET, Monday)
• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Monday)
• Angels vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Monday)
• Giants vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Monday)
• Athletics vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• Royals vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• Cardinals vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)
• Brewers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Astros vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Monday)
• Twins vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

For July 21, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Max Muncy who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.8% edge at +775 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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