NFL Predictions

Your data-powered hub for NFL predictions & picks

Dimers gives NFL bettors a system instead of a hunch. Our NFL computer picks use machine learning and predictive modeling to assess every matchup, from Week 1 to the Super Bowl.

We model the moneyline, spread, and over/under of each matchup on the weekly NFL slate. Each market gets a clear probability, giving you an evidence-based starting point for making quality NFL picks.

Click "See Matchup" for the full breakdown of each NFL game this week.

NFL predictions for today's and tonight's games

Most NFL games are played on Sunday, with additional games on Thursday and Monday throughout the regular season. The NFL also schedules games on other days, including Friday and Saturday. Games are listed in order of kickoff, with the soonest upcoming game at the top, along with its win probability, projected score, and current market price. 

How to use our NFL predictions & picks

We designed our NFL predictions to help you understand every bet in every game quickly and confidently.

Head to the table above and follow these steps:

• Pick a matchup: Browse this week's NFL slate and click into any game. Each matchup displays our moneyline prediction alongside the latest betting market prices.
• Toggle betting markets: Open the game predictions tab and switch between the point spread, over/under, and moneyline (the straight-up winner) to view our pregame probabilities for each matchup.
• Check the pregame probabilities: Every prediction includes a percentage out of 100, giving you a clear picture of each bet's chances.
• Compare the displayed market: We pair our probabilities with market prices, so you can see the chances and the price in one place.
• Read the matchup analysis: We provide a detailed breakdown of every NFL game, so you can assess each betting market in context. All writeups include an overview of sportsbook odds and prediction markets, our win probabilities, the projected final score, and our overall prediction and pick.

No prediction is guaranteed. Pairing our probabilities with disciplined bankroll management gives you the best chance of long-term success.

How we generate our NFL predictions

Our NFL predictions come from two dedicated machine learning models built specifically to forecast NFL outcomes. 

So what is a machine learning model? In simple terms, it learns patterns from historical data rather than relying on a fixed set of rules. We train our models on historical NFL data so they can identify relationships between different factors and game outcomes, then apply what they've learned to new matchups.

You can measure data. You can't measure a hunch. That's important for NFL betting. No model can predict the future with certainty, but a data-driven approach can be tested, measured, and refined over time.

Our models evaluate more than 100 data points for every matchup, including team form, power rankings, quarterback performance, efficiency, pace, rest, travel, venue, and game-specific variables. They learn how those factors relate to different outcomes rather than treating every input equally. 

What makes our NFL prediction models different?

We build our NFL pregame predictions in-house. Four things set them apart:

• Power rankings built for prediction: Our tailor-made power rankings go beyond wins, losses, and raw past performance, accounting for factors such as opponent quality and quarterback context.
• A better understanding of quarterbacks: The model considers the quarterback expected to play, including whether they represent an upgrade or downgrade from recent games, with an improved approach to rookie quarterbacks.
• Garbage-time adjustments: Offensive and defensive efficiency metrics are adjusted for garbage-time situations, reducing the influence of play after the competitive outcome has been decided.
• Different models for different outcomes: Our two models use the same underlying information differently, one for the expected margin between the two teams and one for the expected combined points. Those outputs power our moneyline, against the spread, and total predictions.

Why trust our NFL prediction models?

Our approach to NFL pregame predictions combines machine learning, extensive data, and rigorous testing.

• Built and refined in-house: Our data scientists and sports experts design, build, test, and refine the NFL pregame model in-house throughout the offseason.
• More than 100 data points per prediction: Rather than treating every piece of information equally, our models learn how different factors relate to the specific outcome being predicted.
• Extensively tested: We tested thousands of modeling approaches before selecting the final two, then backtested them against historical games. Dimers Pro members can track how those models are performing now in NFL Sweet Spots.

Go beyond our free NFL predictions with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro adds premium NFL betting tools on top of our pregame predictions.

Subscribers get unlimited access to tools designed to help you find betting value throughout the season.

• Sweet Spots: Track the bet types and edge ranges where our models are producing the strongest returns, with the number of bets behind every figure.
• Real-time research tools: Available on desktop and in the Dimers iOS/Android app.
• Dimebot AI assistant: Get instant answers powered by Dimers' data.
• Private Discord: Connect with other bettors and Dimers experts.
• 15,000+ events annually: Picks, props, parlays, and more across major sports.

Score six months of Dimers Pro for $99.99 with our Football Pass.

Your subscription covers the entire NFL and college football seasons and also includes access to our tools and picks across other major sports, including MLB and NBA.

Lock in six months for $99.99 now—cancel or pause anytime.

Explore our full suite of NFL betting tools

Our NFL predictions and picks are just the start. Dimers offers a full lineup of tools to help you bet with better information all season long:

• NFL Best Bets: Top daily +EV NFL plays based on probability and price.
• NFL Prop Bets: Best daily NFL player props powered by projections and matchup data.
• NFL Player Projections: Full NFL player stats projections for picking your own props.
• NFL Parlays: Generate automatic NFL parlays with high-upside multi-legs.
• NFL Odds: Compare all NFL lines from major sportsbooks with instant odds shopping.
• NFL Trends: Track NFL player hot and cold streaks to help with prop betting.
• NFL Futures: Probabilities and odds for long-term NFL outright bets.
• NFL News: Daily NFL match previews and exclusive picks from our experts.

Responsible gambling for NFL

Betting should stay fun and within the limits you set in advance. We recommend firm deposit and wager limits and understanding the risks that come with betting. If you or someone close to you is facing gambling challenges, our responsible gambling resources can help.