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2026 World Cup Predictions

Bet smarter with Dimers' data-driven World Cup picks and predictions. As of 5/3, Germany, Spain, and Switzerland lead Dimers' win probabilities.
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South Africa
13%
DraftKings
Mexico
65%
DraftKings
Czechia
36%
BetMGM
South Korea
38%
BetRivers
Bosnia and Herzegovina
20%
Caesars
Canada
56%
Caesars
Paraguay
25%
FanDuel
United States
50%
BetRivers
Switzerland
75%
BetRivers
Qatar
10%
Caesars
Morocco
19%
FanDuel
Brazil
56%
DraftKings
Scotland
63%
BetRivers
Haiti
16%
FanDuel
Türkiye
51%
BetMGM
Australia
24%
BetRivers
Curaçao
3%
bet365
Germany
90%
Caesars
Japan
26%
FanDuel
Netherlands
50%
DraftKings
Ecuador
43%
Caesars
Côte d'Ivoire
28%
BetRivers
Tunisia
25%
BetMGM
Sweden
49%
Caesars
Cabo Verde
4%
Caesars
Spain
87%
FanDuel
Egypt
18%
FanDuel
Belgium
58%
Caesars
Uruguay
62%
BetRivers
Saudi Arabia
15%
Caesars
New Zealand
19%
FanDuel
Iran
56%
DraftKings
Senegal
15%
Caesars
France
63%
bet365
Norway
71%
BetMGM
Iraq
11%
Caesars
Algeria
12%
Caesars
Argentina
68%
BetRivers
Jordan
13%
Caesars
Austria
68%
BetRivers
Congo DR
10%
BetMGM
Portugal
72%
BetMGM
Croatia
19%
Caesars
England
57%
FanDuel
Panama
35%
FanDuel
Ghana
40%
Caesars
Colombia
66%
Caesars
Uzbekistan
13%
FanDuel
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FanDuel
BetMGM logo
BetMGM
Caesars logo
Caesars
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DraftKings
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bet365
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BetRivers
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Fanatics
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theScore Bet
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Kalshi
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Novig

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World Cup predictions

Dimers' World Cup predictor is powered by a machine-learning model that estimates expected goals for each team. From those goal forecasts, we generate win probabilities for both sides and the draw.

With the tournament 39 days away, Germany tops the board at a 90% win probability against Curaçao. Spain and Switzerland also rank among the leading moneyline favorites.

Team Prob. Opponent Game Date
Germany 90% vs. Curaçao 6/14
Spain 87% vs. Cabo Verde 6/15
Switzerland 75% vs. Qatar 6/13
Portugal 72% vs. Congo DR 6/17
Norway 71% vs. Iraq 6/16

World Cup predictions built on clarity, not guesswork

The FIFA World Cup 2026 brings an expanded 48-team format and matches across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. With more teams, more variables, and more unknowns, the need for reliable, model-driven forecasts has never been greater.

Dimers' World Cup predictions draw on 15+ years of international match data, considering the factors that matter most. Instead of leaning on hunches or headlines, our approach evaluates past performance, opponent strength, likely player involvement, and other underlying signals.

Every match is evaluated using a rating system tailored to international soccer. Those ratings inform each team's probability to win, draw, or lose throughout both the group stage and knockout phase.

How our World Cup predictions work

Dimers' World Cup predictions for all 104 games in 2026 are built from the ground up, using:

  • Proprietary features and outputs you won't find elsewhere
  • Frequent data maintenance to ensure accuracy throughout the tournament
  • Regular monitoring to uphold model integrity

This methodology has been sharpened through years of experience forecasting major competitions, including the 2022 World Cup, Euro 2024, and Copa América 2024. Each output is measured, intentional, and grounded in repeatable logic.

Dimers Pro builds on this foundation with deeper World Cup insights for bettors who want a more analytical edge.

Explore more of our World Cup coverage

Stay tuned for continuous updates leading into the 2026 World Cup and throughout every stage of the tournament.

Responsible gambling

World Cup betting should always remain measured and responsible. Responsible gambling resources are available 24/7.