North Texas vs. Texas State Prediction: Texas State Predicted to Win First Responder Bowl [2025]

Texas State will face North Texas in the 2025 First Responder Bowl at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Friday, starting at 4:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college football model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Texas State as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's North Texas-Texas State game 10,000 times," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict Texas State's chance of winning is 79%, while North Texas' is 21%."

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including the predicted score, best bets and an expanded look at the predicted final score, visit our interactive North Texas vs. Texas State predictions page.

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North Texas vs. Texas State Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's college football matchup between Texas State and North Texas at Gerald J. Ford Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00PM ET.

• Who: North Texas vs. Texas State
• Date: Friday, January 3, 2025
• Time: 4:00PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's North Texas vs. Texas State matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any North Texas vs. Texas State picks, be sure to check out the latest college football predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

First Responder Bowl Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 First Responder Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Texas State a 79% chance of defeating North Texas. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 40-25.

According to our model, North Texas (+15.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 66.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 8:40PM, Jan 3

Spread

Over / Under

Moneyline

North Texas

North Texas +15.5

51%

49%

-108

-110

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Texas State

North Texas NTX

-108

North Texas +15.5

51%

49%

See Matchup

Texas State TXST

-110

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First Responder Bowl Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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North Texas vs. Texas State Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's North Texas vs. Texas State matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best college football picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat North Texas on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Texas vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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