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NFL Week 18: Chiefs vs. Raiders Player Props & Predictions, Saturday January 7, 2023
It's NFL Week 18 and we've got Saturday afternoon football between the Chiefs and the Raiders. Luckily for you, we've identified a number of different player prop performances for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from first touchdown props at Allegiant Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props. Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Week 18 game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders, where we have the Chiefs registering a win. Based on our Chiefs-Raiders predictions, it also looks as though Kansas City's Travis Kelce is in for a big game, with the Chiefs TE featuring heavily in our projections. While names like Patrick Mahomes and Josh Jacobs are also prominent, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.
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NFL Week 18 Props: Chiefs vs. Raiders
Wondering where to look in first touchdown props markets in this game between Chiefs vs. Raiders? Well, the latest data for this Saturday afternoon Football matchup is in.
Listed below are our best first touchdown props and best anytime touchdown props for both the Chiefs and Raiders, as well as player prop predictions.
And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Saturday afternoon's game.
According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is the best first TD prop bet to place in Chiefs vs. Raiders.
The Dimers AI predictive analytics machine gives Kelce a 13.8% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at Allegiant Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is a 58.7% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little more safe.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown props and anytime TD prop predictions.
RELATED: Player Prop Bets for every NFL game
Chiefs vs. Raiders Touchdown Props
First Touchdown Scorer
| PLAYER | FIRST TOUCHDOWN |
| Travis Kelce (Chiefs) | 13.9% probability |
| Davante Adams (Raiders) | 10.3% probability |
| Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs) | 8.2% probability |
| Josh Jacobs (Raiders) | 7.6% probability |
| Jarrett Stidham (Raiders) | 6.2% probability |
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | 6.0% probability |
| Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs) | 5.6% probability |
| Darren Waller (Raiders) | 4.5% probability |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) | 4.4% probability |
| Hunter Renfrow (Raiders) | 3.7% probability |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
| PLAYER | ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN |
| Travis Kelce (Chiefs) | 58.7% probability |
| Davante Adams (Raiders) | 49.4% probability |
| Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs) | 40.2% probability |
| Josh Jacobs (Raiders) | 39.3% probability |
| Jarrett Stidham (Raiders) | 32.4% probability |
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | 30.5% probability |
| Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs) | 29.1% probability |
| Darren Waller (Raiders) | 25.0% probability |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) | 23.3% probability |
| Hunter Renfrow (Raiders) | 22.0% probability |
For NFL prop bets from EVERY game being played this week, check out our NFL Prop Bets generator to find yourself today's best plays.
Chiefs at Raiders Player Prop Predictions
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is predicted to throw for 311 passing yards. The Raiders' Jarrett Stidham is expected to throw for 208 yards.
Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Chiefs-Raiders, below.
Chiefs Starting QB Prediction
- Patrick Mahomes: 311 yards 🔥
Raiders Starting QB Predictions
- Jarrett Stidham: 208 yards 🏈
Chiefs Rushing Yards Prediction
- Isiah Pacheco: 67 yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 34 yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 28 yards
Raiders Rushing Yards Prediction
- Josh Jacobs: 75 yards
- Jarrett Stidham: 11 yards
- Zamir White: 8 yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards Prediction
- Travis Kelce: 94 yards 🔥
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 73 yards
- Jerick McKinnon: 41 yards 🔥
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 34 yards
- Kadarius Toney: 34 yards
Raiders Receiving Yards Prediction
- Davante Adams: 81 yards
- Darren Waller: 49 yards
- Hunter Renfrow: 36 yards
- Mack Hollins: 29 yards
- Foster Moreau: 27 yards
ANALYSIS: Betting previews for every Week 18 NFL game
MORE PROPS: NFL Week 18: Titans vs. Jaguars Player Props & Predictions
NFL Player Prop Bets - Chiefs vs. Raiders
🔥 BET: Travis Kelce Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Our player props predictive analytics model has Kelce down for significantly more than his line of 75.5 receiving yards (we have him getting 94) on Saturday, so at odds of -115 we are betting his OVER and getting an edge of 17.8% with PointsBet Sportsbook, where new customers can get 4x risk-free $200 bets to use on whatever they want, right here.
🔥 BET: Jerick McKinnon Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Saturday afternoon matchup between the Chiefs and the Raiders, our player prop model has identified that the receiving yards line of 30.5 for Jerick McKinnon is too low. We have the Kansas City man down for 41 receiving yards (see above), so betting his OVER (-115) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 16.5% vs. the sportsbook. New DraftKings customers can score $150 in free bets from just a $5 wager here.
🔥 BET: Patrick Mahomes Under 319.5 Passing Yards (-105)
The player props super computer has identified a passing yards prop in Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes. We have him down for 311 passing yards on Saturday afternoon at a probability of 54.6% and with a 3.4% edge. By betting this UNDER at PointsBet Sportsbook we get access to those 4x risk-free $200 bets, here.
🏈 BET: Jarrett Stidham To Score a Touchdown (+650)
The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some huge value here for Jarrett Stidham to score a TD on Saturday afternoon. While the model has identified him as a 36.2% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the huge 22.9% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at Caesars Sportsbook where new customers can score a risk-free first bet up to $1250 by tapping here.
BEST BETS: Access NFL Player Prop bets for every Week 18 game
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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