Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction: Cleveland Predicted to Win Monday's MLB Matchup [4/21/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Monday's New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians matchup.

New York Yankees-Cleveland Guardians Predictions and Game Preview.
Progressive Field sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians this Monday.

The Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Progressive Field on Monday, starting at 6:10PM ET.

The Guardians will have Gavin Williams (1-1, 4.58 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Yankees will counter with Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 4.76 ERA).

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Guardians as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's NY Yankees-Cleveland game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Guardians are likely to win, with a probability of 51%, compared to the Yankees' 49%."

For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Yankees vs. Guardians predictions page.

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Yankees vs. Yankees Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Guardians 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Guardians a 51% chance of beating the Yankees.

According to our model, the Guardians (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:29PM, Apr 21
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Yankees
Win %
49%
51%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Guardians
Yankees NYY
Win %
49%
51%
See Matchup
Guardians CLE
Clarke Schmidt 0-0, 4.77 ERA
Gavin Williams 1-1, 4.58 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds [4/21/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Yankees Guardians
Run Line -1.5 (+136) +1.5 (-155)
Moneyline -124 +110
Total o8.5 (-115) u8.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Yankees vs. Guardians Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Yankees vs. Guardians Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's MLB action between the Guardians and Yankees at Progressive Field is scheduled to start at 6:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Yankees vs. Guardians matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any NY Yankees vs. Cleveland picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Guardians, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Yankees vs. Guardians insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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