Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars will meet in Week 4 of the NFL season at NRG Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Texans as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Jaguars-Texans game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 73%, while the Jaguars have 27%."

Jaguars vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 matchup between the Texans and Jaguars at NRG Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Texans and Jaguars gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Jaguars vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Jaguars picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Jaguars and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Texans a 73% chance of beating the Jaguars in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 26-19.

According to our model, the Texans (-6) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.

In addition to our Jaguars vs. Texans predictions, we've also got the following locked and loaded for this week's action:

• The Best NFL Week 4 Odds
• NFL Picks Straight Up for Week 4
• Picks Against The Spread for NFL Week 4

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jaguars	Texans
Spread	+6 (-110)	-6 (-110)
Moneyline	+220	-255
Total	o44.5 (-110)	u44.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jaguars vs. Texans Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Jaguars vs. Texans matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Texans?

According to our model, Houston's Nico Collins is most likely to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Texans.

Our projections give Collins a 10.8% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans WR is a 44.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Etienne	10.4%
Christian Kirk	6.9%
Gabe Davis	6.8%

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Nico Collins	10.8%
Joe Mixon	10.7%
Stefon Diggs	9.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne	43.4%
Christian Kirk	32.2%
Gabe Davis	30.4%

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Joe Mixon	44.8%
Nico Collins	44.5%
Stefon Diggs	40.7%

Jaguars vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jaguars-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Jaguars vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Jaguars Rushing

Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence and Tank Bigsby are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jaguars.

Player	Position
Travis Etienne	RB
Trevor Lawrence	QB
Tank Bigsby	RB

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, Cam Akers and C.J. Stroud are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Joe Mixon	RB
Cam Akers	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Jaguars Receiving

Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis, Brian Thomas, Travis Etienne and Luke Farrell are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jaguars.

Player	Position
Christian Kirk	WR
Gabe Davis	WR
Brian Thomas	WR
Travis Etienne	RB
Luke Farrell	TE

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Robert Woods are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Stefon Diggs	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Joe Mixon	RB
Robert Woods	WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars in Week 4 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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