Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction: Houston Predicted to Win Following Latest Data Analysis for NFL Week 4 [2024]

NFL Week 4 action continues on Sunday at 1:00PM ET as the Jacksonville Jaguars take on the favored Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Texans as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Jaguars-Texans game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Texans with a win probability of 70%, while the Jaguars have 30%."

Jaguars vs. Texans Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 4 action between the Texans and Jaguars at NRG Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Texans and Jaguars gear at Fanatics
• Live Stream: Watch this game on CBS via Hulu, FuboTV or Paramount+

Dimers.com's full preview of this week's Jaguars vs. Texans matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Texans vs. Jaguars picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20FOOTBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Jaguars vs. Texans Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Jaguars and Texans 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Texans a 70% chance of defeating the Jaguars in Week 4 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Texans winning 25-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Jaguars and Texans each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 44.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Along with our Jaguars vs. Texans predictions, we've also prepared the following for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 4
• NFL Player Props for Week 4
• Anytime TD Scorer Predictions for Week 4

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jaguars	Texans
Spread	+5.5 (-102)	-5.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+200	-238
Total	o44.5 (-110)	u44.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jaguars vs. Texans Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Jaguars vs. Texans matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Jaguars vs. Texans TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Jaguars vs. Texans?

According to our model, Houston's Nico Collins is most likely to score the first touchdown in Jaguars vs. Texans.

Our projections give Collins a 10.8% chance of scoring the first TD at NRG Stadium, while the Texans WR is a 44.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	First TD Probability
Travis Etienne	9.7%
Christian Kirk	7.4%
Gabe Davis	6.8%

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Nico Collins	10.8%
Joe Mixon	10.5%
Stefon Diggs	9.7%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Jacksonville Jaguars

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Travis Etienne	42.8%
Christian Kirk	32.6%
Gabe Davis	30.4%

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Nico Collins	44.3%
Joe Mixon	44.1%
Stefon Diggs	40.0%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 4 touchdown scorer predictions

Jaguars vs Texans Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jaguars and Texans. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Jaguars-Texans page now to access every player prop projection.

Jaguars vs. Texans Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is projected to throw for fewer yards than the Texans' C.J. Stroud.

Jaguars Rushing

Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence and Tank Bigsby are projected to be the leading rushers for the Jaguars.

Player	Position
Travis Etienne	RB
Trevor Lawrence	QB
Tank Bigsby	RB

Texans Rushing

Joe Mixon, Cam Akers and C.J. Stroud are expected to lead the Texans in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Joe Mixon	RB
Cam Akers	RB
C.J. Stroud	QB

Jaguars Receiving

Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis, Brian Thomas, Travis Etienne and Luke Farrell are projected to top the receiving yards for the Jaguars.

Player	Position
Christian Kirk	WR
Gabe Davis	WR
Brian Thomas	WR
Travis Etienne	RB
Luke Farrell	TE

Texans Receiving

Nico Collins, Stefon Diggs, Dalton Schultz, Joe Mixon and Robert Woods are projected to lead the Texans in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Nico Collins	WR
Stefon Diggs	WR
Dalton Schultz	TE
Joe Mixon	RB
Robert Woods	WR

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jaguars vs. Texans insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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