Home Run Cheat Sheet - HR Data, Stats, Matchups and More - Friday, September 22

Welcome to the Home Run Cheat Sheet! If you’re a regular Dimers user, you know there’s not much more we love to bet on than home runs, especially in the dog days of summer dominated by baseball. We use our cutting-edge predictive analytics machine combined with strong MLB betting trends to find both the best value and most likely home run hitters on any given day. Powered by our A.I. models, we run 1000s of simulations on every game in every slate to find out when the sportsbooks are wrong and how you can use that to your advantage to turn a long-term profit. You can find all of our home run props with an edge in our best MLB props today section.

However, even though we love our DimersBOT, a savvy bettor has no shortage of tools in their arsenal and knows that the more resources and data you can use to back up your bets, the stronger they’ll be. While nothing is ever a guarantee in sports betting, you’ll find yourself hitting your wagers more often than not when making full use of the resources available to you. Hopefully, this article will give you a little insight into how we arrive at our final decisions when putting together our HR Round Robins and two-leg HR parlay picks.

Check out our Best Bets for MLB and MLS, every single day!

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Home Run Cheat Sheet

For ease of use, this article will be broken into four main sections as follows:

• Today’s Starting Pitchers and their HR allowed data
• Hot hitters – most HR over last # of days
• The worst bullpens in terms of HR allowed
• Historical matchups – the hitters with the best HR and batting history

Be sure to cross-reference these lists with our MLB prop bets which continuously update throughout the day, as well as our Best Bets Today in All Sports for Friday, September 22.

🎯 Dinger Targets

Today’s starting pitchers with their total home runs and home runs per 9 allowed this season. Based on scheduled starters and subject to change.

PITCHER	OPPONENT	HR ALLOWED	IP	HR/9
M. Waldron (SD)	STL Cardinals	7	29.2	2.16
L. Weaver (NYY)	ARI D-Backs	27	114.1	2.13
B. Pfaadt (ARI)	NY Yankees	20	86.0	2.09
S. Gipson-Long (DET) *AAA stats*	OAK Athletics	20	99.2	1.81
J. Taillon (CHC)	COL Rockies	26	138.1	1.69
P. Corbin (WSH)	ATL Braves	30	171.0	1.58
K. Waldichuk (OAK)	DET Tigers	22	130.0	1.52
D. Kremer (BAL)	CLE Guardians	27	164.0	1.48
T. Megill (NYM)	PHI Phillies	17	113.0	1.35
C. Bassitt (TOR)	TB Rays	27	185.2	1.31
C. Ragans (KC)	HOU Astros	12	83.2	1.30
N. Davis (COL) *AAA stats*	CHI Cubs	8	63.0	1.14
A. Abbott (CIN)	PIT Pirates	14	102.2	1.23
T. Toussaint (CWS)	BOS Red Sox	10	76.2	1.18
P. Lopez (MIN)	LA Angels	23	183.2	1.13
S. Manaea (SF)	LA Dodgers	13	104.2	1.12
D. Duning (TEX)	SEA Mariners	19	157.0	1.09
S. Bieber (CLE)	BAL Orioles	14	117.0	1.08
T. Glasnow (TB)	TOR Blue Jays	13	109.2	1.07
T. Walker (PHI)	NY Mets	19	159.2	1.07
C. Burnes (MIL)	MIA Marlins	22	184.2	1.07
D. Hudson (STL)	SD Padres	8	70.1	1.03
B. Miller (SEA)	TEX Rangers	14	123.0	1.02
F. Valdez (HOU)	KC Royals	18	188.2	0.86
C. Morton (ATL)	WSH Nationals	14	162.1	0.78
C. Ferguson (LAD)	SF Giants	4	56.1	0.64
D. Daniel (LAA) *AAA stats*	MIN Twins	0	29.1	0.00
PIT - TBD	CIN Reds	-	-	-
MIA - TBD	MIL Brewers	-	-	-

MORE: MLB Game-By-Game Predictions

🔥 Hot Hitters 

These hitters have mashed a notable amount of home runs in recent weeks.

BATTER	TIMEFRAME (LAST # OF DAYS)	HR
T. Turner (PHI)	Last 30	12
K. Schwarber (PHI)	Last 30	12
R. Acuna Jr. (ATL)	Last 30	11
R. Lewis (MIN)	Last 30	11
M. Olson (ATL)	Last 30	10
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	Last 30	10
N. Castellanos (PHI)	Last 7	4
J. Martinez (LAD)	Last 7	4
B. Rooker (OAK)	Last 7	4
J. Rogers (DET)	Last 7	4

💥 Down Bad Bullpens

Starting pitcher yanked early or threw a gem? Not to worry, these bullpens give up plenty of late-game dingers!

TEAM	RANK	HR ALLOWED
WSH Nationals	1st	89
TEX Rangers	2nd	83
OAK Athletics	T-3rd	79
DET Tigers	T-3rd	79
BOS Red Sox	T-4th	77
KC Royals	T-4th	77
CHI White Sox	T-4th	77
LA Angels	T-5th	75
ARI D-Backs	T-5th	75

MORE: Today's Hottest MLB Trends

🤝 Hello, Old Friend

These hitters have some reliable history against the starter they’ll be facing. Players with just one home run will typically require a minimum of 10 PAs and a .250 batting average unless otherwise noted. Sample sizes will vary.

BATTER	OPP. PITCHER	PLATE APPEARANCES	HR	AVG
M. Betts (LAD)	S. Manaea (SF)	29	3	.385
O. Albies (ATL)	P. Corbin (WSH)	31	3	.433
A. Santander (BAL)	S. Bieber (CLE)	12	2	.182
R. Grichuk (LAA)	P. Lopez (MIN)	8	2	.286
M. Ozuna (ATL)	P. Corbin (WSH)	44	2	.195
A. Riley (ATL)	P. Corbin (WSH)	33	2	.286
O. Arcia (ATL)	P. Corbin (WSH)	21	2	.500
D. Smith (WSH)	C. Morton (ATL)	16	1	.214
J. Rodriguez (SEA)	D. Dunning (TEX)	13	1	.231
J. McCann (BAL)	S. Bieber (CLE)	10	1	.333
M. Yastrzemski (SF)	C. Ferguson (LAD)	8	1	.429
C. Taylor (LAD)	S. Manaea (SF)	16	1	.286
E. Escobar (LAA)	P. Lopez (MIN)	11	1	.364
F. Freeman (LAD)	S. Manaea (SF)	13	1	.364
C. Raleigh (SAE)	D. Dunning (TEX)	11	1	.364
V. Guerrero Jr. (TOR)	T. Glasnow (TB)	12	1	.400
K. Pillar (ATL)	P. Corbin (WSH)	15	1	.357
G. Springer (TOR)	T. Glasnow (TB)	11	1	.500
R. O'Hearn (BAL)	S. Bieber (CLE)	19	1	.353

*Designates potential starters not yet confirmed

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