Celtics vs. Heat Prediction: Boston to Win, Jayson Tatum Projected for Big Game in Friday's NBA Matchup [3/14/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Friday's Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat matchup.

Boston Celtics-Miami Heat Predictions and Game Preview.
Kaseya Center sets the stage for the NBA matchup between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat this Friday.

The Miami Heat will square off with the favored Boston Celtics in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Friday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Celtics as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Boston-Miami game 10,000 times," said Damien Souness from Dimers.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Celtics' chance of winning is 72%, while the Heat's is 28%."

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo, while the Celtics will rely on Jayson Tatum, Derrick White and Sam Hauser.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Celtics vs. Heat predictions page.

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Celtics vs. Celtics Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Celtics and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Celtics a 72% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Celtics winning 109-102.

According to our model, the Heat (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 211.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:07PM, Mar 14
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Celtics
Heat +7.5
47%
53%
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See Matchup
Heat
Celtics BOS
Heat +7.5
47%
53%
See Matchup
Heat MIA
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Celtics vs. Heat Odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Celtics Heat
Spread -7.5 (-112) +7.5 (-105)
Moneyline -295 +250
Total o211.5 (-108) u211.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Celtics vs. Heat Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Celtics vs. Heat matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NBA picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Celtics vs. Heat Player Props

NBA player props are a popular way to wager on Friday's Celtics vs. Heat game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.

Jayson Tatum is expected to lead the Celtics in scoring, while Tyler Herro is projected to be the top scorer for the Heat.

Jayson Tatum 2025.
Jayson Tatum is projected to be one of the top scorers in tonight's game.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every NBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every NBA Game
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Calling Our Shot's Free 🏀 Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Celtics vs. Heat Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's matchup between the Heat and Celtics at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Friday's Celtics vs. Heat matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Boston vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Celtics, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Celtics vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA news, NBA best bets and NBA parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our NBA championship odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the NBA title.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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