...
...
Read Article
2025 The Masters Picks, Odds, Predictions and Betting Preview at Augusta National
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
We put every effort into ensuring information on Dimers is accurate. But double-check details that matter to you before making any wager.
The 2025 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is here! We've used our predictive golf model to identify our best bets to win and place this weekend at Augusta National.
The first major of the 2025 season has arrived with The Masters at Augusta National Golf Club taking place this week, from Thursday, April 10 through Sunday, April 13, along with our Masters Predictions.
A field of 95 golfers will compete for the coveted green jacket and solidify their place in golf lore at the 89th edition of The Masters Tournament. Defending champion and World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler looks to win his third title in four years at this storied event, while World No. 2 Rory McIlroy will hope to finally claim his first win at Augusta National, his lone elusive major, among other notable storylines at the 2025 Masters Tournament.
Beyond them, a number of intriguing storylines capture the pre-tournament attention as excitement builds for Thursday's first tee times at The Masters.
Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations with the field in this tournament, identifying intriguing bets in the winner and placement markets. Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.
As a special for the major, we've also got our Top 25 predictions for who will Make or Miss the cut at the Masters, a PGA vs. LIV Matchups Parlay. and our +3001 First Round 3-ball parlay.
Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. Our Masters predictions are sourced from the powerful Dimers Pro predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2024 and got off to a productive start this year, identifying multiple mid-tournament winners in 2025 like Harris English and Sepp Straka at longshot odds.
Dimers Pro unlocks complete access to all of our Golf Predictions as well as best bets and props for over a dozen leagues on Dimers.com, including NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, college sports and international soccer. Find out how to join for less than $1/day by hitting the button below.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro with code 20GOLF Get Dimers Pro Who Will Win the 2025 Masters Tournament?
Here are the five most likely winners of the 2025 Masters, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models, as well as each golfer's odds to finish Top 5/10/20:
| GOLFER | WIN | TOP 5 | TOP 10 | TOP 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 14.9% | 40.2% | 56.6% | 73.6% |
| Collin Morikawa | 7.2% | 27.0% | 41.2% | 61.6% |
| Rory McIlroy | 6.9% | 25.2% | 40.4% | 59.9% |
| Jon Rahm | 5.8% | 22.3% | 37.3% | 56.2% |
| Justin Thomas | 3.9% | 17.3% | 29.3% | 47.7% |
2025 The Masters Betting Preview
A famous course known for its unique names for each hole, the storied Amen Corner stretch from the 11th to 13th and of course, Jim Nantz's welcoming monologue, The Masters is pure golf.
A par 72 that runs 7,555 yards, Augusta National has been tweaked many times over the years, including due to the damage sustained during Hurricane Helene in 2024. However, the course is expected to present the same usual test it has in the past.
The field features five amateurs, several returning champions and a handful of golfers from LIV for a diverse field of talent, age and experience. Scottie Scheffler looks to go back-to-back and is the only golfer under +1000 to win, alongside Rory McIlroy.
A $20 Million purse, green jacket and legacy are on the line - let's dig in.
MORE: Dimers' In-House Golf Rankings
Best Bets to Win the 2025 Masters Tournament
A unique field of 95 golfers are competing at Augusta National, so narrowing down the right targets is crucial to success. We're looking at the golfers that our model has identified with a higher probability to win than that implied by the sportsbook odds, from some Top 5 contenders to longshot dark horses.
Collin Morikawa (+1800 on DraftKings)
Our model's best bet to win this year's Masters Tournament is on Collin Morikawa, currently our second-highest projected finisher, just edging out Rory McIlroy.
A couple bad breaks have Morikawa out of the winner's club twice this year, as he's settled for a pair of 2nd place finishes, along with two T17s and a T10.
He finished T3 last year alongside Tommy Fleetwood and Max Homa, two golfers he looks better than this year. He also finished 5th in 2022 and T10 in 2023. He is ranked 1st in SG: Approach, a big metric this weekend.
We project him with a 7.1% probability to win for fair odds of +1300, notably shorter than the +1800 on the books, giving us a nearly 2.0% edge.
Shane Lowry (+4500 on DraftKings)
Another golfer who's been close enough to taste a victory but not follow through, Shane Lowry get a nice edge from our model as our seventh-most likely winner at Augusta.
Aside from a missed cut to open the year, Lowry has just one finished outside T20, and three inside the Top 10, including a runner up at Pebble Beach.
Lowry's best finish in 10 tries at at Augusta came in 2022 with a T3 but has been unable to replicate that performance since. He's in great raw form however, ranking 5th overall in strokes gained, 6th on approach and 34th in Par 4 scoring, notably hard holes on this course.
A 3.0% probability to win makes him a longshot, but that would make a fair price of +3200 according to our model, giving us a difference of +1300 when compared to the best odds on offer, making the big Irishman a great value play.
Russell Henley (+5500 on DraftKings)
Continuing with our run of golfers in good form with some bad breaks this season, Russell Henley is next up, looking to improve on his T4 run at The Masters in 2023.
Henley's won this year but could be a two or three-time winner if not for a couple close misses, adding a T5 and T6 in with his best finishes in 2025.
At Augusta, Henley has made 7/8 cuts, only missing his first try back in 2013. He's coming into his ninth attempt ranked 6th in SG: total, 22nd in Approach and 19th in putting. Smart play by Henley could put him in the top of the race come Sunday.
We project him with a 2.7% probability to win, fair odds of +3600, while we can get him as long as +5500 at DraftKings, implying only a 1.8% chance - that 0.9% discrepancy is worth +1900 on the books. He's also featured in our +883 Masters Parlay Picks.
Sepp Straka (+8000 on FanDuel)
Our final winner pick is on Austria Sepp Straka at 80/1 odds. Straka has participated in 10 events this year, capturing a win at The American Express, as well as two other Top 10s at T5 and T7 and a trio of Top 20 placements.
This will be his fourth trip to Augusta since 2022 and coming off a T16 last year, his best finish yet. He's made the cut all three times.
He brings a well-rounded game into the first major, ranking 7th overall in Strokes Gained, an impressive 5th on Approach, 9th in accuracy and 17th in Par 4 scoring.
Our model gives him a light 2.0% probability to win, presenting fair odds of +4900, well below the +8000 available on the books.
Best Top 20 Bets for the 2025 Masters Tournament
You can find more winners with value by digging in to our full Masters Tournament Predictions with Dimers Pro.
Plus, in addition to the outright winner picks with value, we've got a few placement bets to consider for this week's Masters Tournament as well. As well as being value plays as single wagers, consider playing these in a parlay to potentially rack up some serious profits.
Sepp Straka to Finish Top 20 (+210 on DraftKings)
Beyond his outright winner value, Straka gets a nice edge to finish Top 20.
Our model projects Straka with a 38.6% probability to do so, yet gets double or better the odds of golfers right near him like Xander Schauffele (-110) and Joaquin Niemann (+100).
With our fair odds of +160, Straka gets an edge of over 5%. He's our best look at a ladder play, too, with Top 10 (20.5% at +550) and Top 5 (11.0% at +1200) presenting value.
Lucas Glover to Finish Top 20 (+400 on DraftKings)
A little further down the board, we get Lucas Glover to finish Top 20 at +400 odds.
Glover's results are a mixed bag but when he's on, he's on. He's got three Top 10 finishes this year with two of his best coming in his past two events, a T3 and T8.
There are not a lot of bad marks in his game, ranking well above TOUR average in key categories like Approach, Scoring, Putting and Off the Tee, suggesting he has the tools to at the least make a run and match or beat his best finish of T20 at Augusta.
A probability of 25.3% from our model means he should be just +300, granting a full unit of value for 1 unit bettors.
Stephan Jaeger to Finish Top 20 (+450 on BetMGM)
The German took his first crack at the green jacket last year and missed the cut.
He's back and coming off some decent results this year, highlighted by a T3 at the Sony open, a T6 at the Mexico Open and a T11 in Houston.
His driver may hurt him and he'll need some luck to break his way, but Jaeger has shown his ability to compete with the top talent on TOUR and our model's 23.5% probability says his odds should be closer to +325.
Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions for 2025 PGA TOUR
As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.
- PGA Predictions: Our data-backed predictions for every tournament, including The Masters and every major.
- Head-to-Head Predictor: Simulate any H2H tournament matchup between golfers
- Dimers' PGA Rankings: Our in-house approach to ranking the World's best golfers
- PGA Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the PGA TOUR
Dimers and Responsible Gambling
Please remember to enjoy gambling responsibly. Responsible gambling means setting limits, staying in control, and understanding that luck is just part of the game. Make informed choices, set a budget, and know when to take a break. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
22,000+ 
70,000+ 
10,000,000+ 
