Flames vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Flames

Mar 17, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena

Maple Leafs

Mar 17, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Flames	1	0	1	2
Maple Leafs	1	4	1	6

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

FlamesCGY

Win %

100%

Maple LeafsTOR

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Flames	1	0	1	2
Maple Leafs	1	4	1	6

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:13

Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone

P3 19:12

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Joseph Woll

P3 19:11

SHOT

Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich

P3 19:00

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in defensive zone

P3 19:00

Stoppage - Icing

P3 18:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Dan Vladar

P3 18:39

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in neutral zone

P3 18:39

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 18:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kevin Rooney saved by Joseph Woll

P3 17:43

Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone

P3 17:07

SHOT

Shot missed by Blake Coleman

P3 16:41

SHOT

Shorthanded - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Dan Vladar

P3 16:30

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Martin Pospisil

P3 16:12

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Pospisil saved by Joseph Woll

P3 16:01

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Joseph Woll

P3 16:00

Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone

P3 16:00

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 15:58

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Rooney saved by Joseph Woll

P3 15:16

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Joel Hanley

P3 15:15

Power play - Kevin Rooney won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone

P3 15:15

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 14:53

Shorthanded - Max Domi won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in defensive zone

P3 14:53

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P3 14:44

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Joseph Woll

P3 14:11

SHOT

Power play - Blake Coleman shot blocked by Chris Tanev

P3 13:32

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson

P3 12:57

SHOT

Power play - Morgan Frost shot blocked by teammate

P3 12:49

SHOT

Power play - Nazem Kadri shot blocked by teammate

P3 12:47

Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone

P3 12:47

Penalty to MacKenzie Weegar 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Simon Benoit)

P3 12:47

Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Misconduct

P3 12:47

Stoppage - TV timeout

P3 12:20

SHOT

Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson

P3 12:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Dan Vladar

P3 11:24

Max Domi won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone

P3 11:24

Stoppage - Icing

P3 11:15

SHOT

Shot missed by William Nylander

P3 10:53

John Tavares won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P3 10:53

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P3 09:58

SHOT

Ryan Lomberg shot blocked by Simon Benoit

P3 09:37

SHOT

Brayden Pachal shot blocked by teammate

P3 09:29

SHOT

Joel Farabee shot blocked by Steven Lorentz

P3 07:51

SHOT

Jake Bean shot blocked by William Nylander

P3 07:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Brayden Pachal saved by Joseph Woll

P3 07:44

Nazem Kadri won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone

P3 07:44

Stoppage - Icing

P3 06:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Joseph Woll

P3 05:37

SHOT

Morgan Frost shot blocked by Simon Benoit

P3 04:56

Morgan Frost won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone

P3 04:56

Stoppage - High Stick

P3 04:39

John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone

P3 04:39

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 04:36

SHOT

Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Joseph Woll

P3 03:55

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P3 03:55

Stoppage - Offside

P3 03:03

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in neutral zone

P3 03:03

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Dan Vladar

P3 03:03

GOAL

Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Morgan Rielly and Calle Jarnkrok

1-6

P3 02:19

SHOT

Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Chris Tanev

P3 02:09

SHOT

Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Joseph Woll

P3 01:50

SHOT

Joel Hanley shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson

P3 01:45

SHOT

Matt Coronato shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson

P3 01:27

SHOT

Shot missed by Matt Coronato

P3 01:10

Takeaway by Jake Bean in neutral zone

P3 00:48

SHOT

Matt Coronato shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P3 00:22

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone

P3 00:22

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 00:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Joseph Woll

P3 00:00

Brayden Pachal won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P3 00:00

Flames replaced goalie. (Dan Vladar)

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 19:18

SHOT

Shot missed by Scott Laughton

P2 19:09

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 18:54

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P2 18:54

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 18:54

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Matthew Knies and William Nylander

1-5

P2 18:24

SHOT

Shorthanded - Jonathan Huberdeau shot blocked by Mitch Marner

P2 18:12

SHOT

Power play - Matthew Knies shot blocked by teammate

P2 18:09

Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in offensive zone

P2 18:09

Penalty to Brayden Pachal 2 minutes for Misconduct

P2 18:09

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 18:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 16:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Joseph Woll

P2 15:46

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone

P2 15:46

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P2 15:41

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone

P2 15:41

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 15:41

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by William Nylander and Mitch Marner

1-4

P2 15:36

SHOT

Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson

P2 14:46

Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in offensive zone

P2 14:46

Penalty to Flames 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Matt Coronato)

P2 14:46

Stoppage - TV timeout

P2 14:18

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dryden Hunt saved by Joseph Woll

P2 14:18

SHOT

Shot missed by Dryden Hunt

P2 14:01

SHOT

Shot missed by Dryden Hunt

P2 13:24

SHOT

Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 13:23

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 12:27

SHOT

Joel Hanley shot blocked by Morgan Rielly

P2 11:55

SHOT

Shot missed by Jake Bean

P2 11:54

SHOT

Jake Bean shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg

P2 10:32

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in defensive zone

P2 10:32

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P2 10:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Joseph Woll

P2 10:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll

P2 09:34

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P2 09:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 09:34

GOAL

Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson assisted by Max Domi and Oliver Ekman-Larsson

1-3

P2 08:43

Max Domi won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone

P2 08:43

Stoppage - Icing

P2 08:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 07:58

SHOT

Shot missed by Adam Klapka

P2 07:36

Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P2 07:24

Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone

P2 07:18

SHOT

Shot missed by Matthew Knies

P2 06:51

SHOT

MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 06:49

Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone

P2 06:49

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 06:28

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone

P2 06:28

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P2 06:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Joseph Woll

P2 05:57

SHOT

Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Joseph Woll

P2 05:50

Max Domi won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone

P2 05:50

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 05:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Joseph Woll

P2 05:47

SHOT

Shot missed by MacKenzie Weegar

P2 05:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll

P2 05:33

SHOT

Auston Matthews shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar

P2 05:28

Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar in defensive zone

P2 05:14

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone

P2 05:14

Stoppage - Puck Frozen

P2 04:45

SHOT

Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Joseph Woll

P2 03:54

SHOT

Shot missed by Blake Coleman

P2 02:53

SHOT

Matt Coronato shot blocked by Brandon Carlo

P2 02:52

SHOT

Matt Coronato shot blocked by Steven Lorentz

P2 02:48

Maple Leafs challenge (Offside), call reversed

P2 02:48

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Joseph Woll

P2 02:48

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by Morgan Frost assisted by Jonathan Huberdeau and Nazem Kadri

2-2

P2 02:45

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll

P2 02:30

SHOT

Power play - Morgan Frost shot blocked by Chris Tanev

P2 02:16

Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P2 02:16

Morgan Frost won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone

P2 01:55

SHOT

Power play - MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 01:53

Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone

P2 01:53

Penalty to Nicholas Robertson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Joel Hanley)

P2 01:39

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Mitch Marner and Auston Matthews

1-2

P2 00:34

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner

P2 00:31

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 00:09

Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Kevin Rooney in offensive zone

P2 00:09

Penalty to Nazem Kadri 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Mitch Marner)

P2 00:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Dustin Wolf

P2 00:04

Martin Pospisil credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone

P2 00:00

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:13

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P1 19:12

SHOT

Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Joseph Woll

P1 19:12

GOAL

Goal scored by Rasmus Andersson assisted by Jonathan Huberdeau and Martin Pospisil

1-1

P1 19:02

SHOT

Shot missed by John Tavares

P1 18:41

SHOT

Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 18:33

SHOT

Morgan Rielly shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar

P1 18:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ryan Lomberg saved by Joseph Woll

P1 17:47

Giveaway by Ryan Lomberg in defensive zone

P1 16:55

SHOT

Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 16:25

Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone

P1 16:02

Takeaway by Nazem Kadri in defensive zone

P1 15:59

SHOT

Shot missed by Maple Leafs

P1 15:36

Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P1 15:36

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 15:34

SHOT

Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 15:18

SHOT

Simon Benoit shot blocked by Adam Klapka

P1 14:50

SHOT

William Nylander shot blocked by Matt Coronato

P1 14:45

SHOT

Shot missed by Blake Coleman

P1 14:15

Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone

P1 13:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 13:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 13:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 13:44

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone

P1 13:44

Stoppage - Hand Pass

P1 13:20

Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone

P1 13:20

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P1 13:17

SHOT

MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Chris Tanev

P1 13:15

Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone

P1 13:15

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P1 13:13

SHOT

Shot missed by Morgan Frost

P1 12:51

SHOT

Shot missed by Bobby McMann

P1 12:31

Max Domi won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in offensive zone

P1 12:31

Stoppage - Icing

P1 12:08

SHOT

Shot missed by Joel Farabee

P1 11:57

Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P1 11:57

Stoppage - Icing

P1 10:26

SHOT

Power play - MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Scott Laughton

P1 10:03

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Huberdeau

P1 09:39

Shorthanded - Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P1 09:10

Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone

P1 09:10

Penalty to Nicholas Robertson 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct

P1 09:10

Stoppage - Offside

P1 09:04

Max Domi won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone

P1 09:04

Stoppage - Icing

P1 08:55

SHOT

Chris Tanev shot blocked by Morgan Frost

P1 08:39

John Tavares won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone

P1 08:39

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout

P1 08:37

SHOT

Shot on goal by MacKenzie Weegar saved by Joseph Woll

P1 08:29

SHOT

Joel Hanley shot blocked by Steven Lorentz

P1 08:06

Takeaway by Jake McCabe in offensive zone

P1 08:00

SHOT

Auston Matthews shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson

P1 07:21

SHOT

Simon Benoit shot blocked by Yegor Sharangovich

P1 06:49

SHOT

Shot missed by Jake Bean

P1 06:44

SHOT

Matt Coronato shot blocked by Brandon Carlo

P1 06:32

SHOT

Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll

P1 05:59

SHOT

Shot missed by Flames

P1 05:58

SHOT

MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Chris Tanev

P1 05:12

SHOT

Power play - Blake Coleman shot blocked by Brandon Carlo

P1 04:27

Power play - Giveaway by Jonathan Huberdeau in offensive zone

P1 04:19

SHOT

Power play - MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Jake McCabe

P1 04:06

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll

P1 04:00

Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Matt Coronato in neutral zone

P1 04:00

Stoppage - Hand Pass

P1 03:47

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Joseph Woll

P1 03:44

Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone

P1 03:44

Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kevin Rooney)

P1 03:33

Giveaway by John Tavares in neutral zone

P1 02:55

Morgan Frost won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone

P1 02:55

Stoppage

P1 02:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 02:28

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone

P1 02:28

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 02:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll

P1 02:26

SHOT

Shot missed by Nazem Kadri

P1 01:47

Kevin Rooney won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone

P1 01:47

SHOT

Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 01:47

GOAL

Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by Simon Benoit

0-1

P1 01:44

SHOT

Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 01:38

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 01:35

SHOT

Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Dustin Wolf

P1 01:21

Max Domi won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone

P1 01:21

Stoppage - Puck in Benches

P1 01:10

SHOT

Shot missed by John Tavares

P1 00:29

Martin Pospisil credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone

P1 00:26

SHOT

Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P1 00:22

SHOT

Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P1 00:00

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Flames		STATS		Maple Leafs

26	Shots on Goal	29
29%	Faceoff Win %	71%
4/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	3/3
8	Penalty Infraction Mins	10
31	Hits	20
10	Shots Blocked	23
9	Giveaways	18

FlamesCGY			Maple LeafsTOR

26	Shots on Goal	29
29%	Faceoff Win %	71%
4/0	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	3/3
8	Penalty Infraction Mins	10
31	Hits	20
10	Shots Blocked	23
9	Giveaways	18

Game Prediction Article

Nick Slade

Mar 16, 2025

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Matchup [3/17/2025]

Read Article

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Flames vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Flames vs. Maple Leafs
Date: Monday, March 17, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 5.5
Moneyline Odds: Flames +170, Maple Leafs -195

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Flames: 39%
Maple Leafs: 61%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 39%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.