Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Senators
4
2
Mar 15, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Mar 15, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Senators
0314
Maple Leafs
0202
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SenatorsOTT
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySenatorsMaple LeafsP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySenatorsMaple LeafsP1P2REG0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 6Under 6P1P2REG0255075100
TEAM123T
Senators
0314
Maple Leafs
0202
P3 19:53 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 19:46 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 19:19 Ridly Greig shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:11 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:50 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:30 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:07 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:48 Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P3 17:39 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 17:38 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:28 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 17:25 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:21 Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P3 16:59 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:35 Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 15:17 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 15:05 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:05 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:55 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:01 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:53
Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
P3 19:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 19:46
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 19:19
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 19:11
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by teammate
P3 18:50
Maple Leafs challenge (Offside), call reversed
P3 18:50
Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
P3 18:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 18:45
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 18:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P3 17:39
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 17:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 17:26
John Tavares won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 17:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 17:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P3 17:18
John Tavares won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P3 17:18
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 17:07
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
P3 17:07
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:01
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
P3 17:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 15:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 15:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P3 15:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:05
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 14:51
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P3 14:51
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 14:51
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P3 13:27
Giveaway by Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
P3 13:11
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
P3 13:11
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 12:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 12:25
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 12:25
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 12:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:43
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 11:43
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 11:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 11:17
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 09:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:31
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Matthew Highmore
P3 09:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tanev saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P3 08:42
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 08:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 08:33
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 08:33
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 07:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:16
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
P3 06:57
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 06:57
Stoppage - Offside
P3 06:34
Michael Amadio won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P3 06:34
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:20
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P3 06:20
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 05:57
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P3 05:57
Stoppage - Icing
P3 05:50
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Michael Amadio in offensive zone
P3 05:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 04:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Highmore
P3 04:15
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 04:15
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P3 03:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 02:59
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 02:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 02:52
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
P3 02:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P3 02:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 01:59
John Tavares won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 01:59
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:52
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
P3 01:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 00:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 00:27
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 00:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 00:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 00:00
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
SHOT
Chris Tanev shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
P2 19:06
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 19:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 17:43
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
P2 17:43
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:32
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 17:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 17:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 16:57
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P2 16:32
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Matthew Highmore in neutral zone
P2 16:32
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Hamonic
P2 15:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P2 15:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 14:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P2 14:31
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
P2 14:31
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
P2 14:31
Penalty to Ridly Greig 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Scott Laughton)
P2 14:31
Penalty to Scott Laughton 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
P2 14:30
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 14:30
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 14:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 14:08
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P2 14:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 14:08
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Claude Giroux assisted by Thomas Chabot
3-2
P2 13:59
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 13:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 12:49
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P2 12:49
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Matthew Highmore)
P2 12:16
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 12:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 12:16
GOAL
Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Drake Batherson
2-2
P2 11:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P2 10:14
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P2 10:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 09:58
SHOT
Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P2 09:36
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by teammate
P2 08:55
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 08:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews
1-2
P2 08:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P2 08:30
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 08:30
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 08:29
SHOT
Senators shot blocked by teammate
P2 07:57
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 07:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Jake Sanderson assisted by Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk
1-1
P2 07:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 07:22
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 07:22
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 06:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 06:49
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 06:47
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 06:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 05:44
Giveaway by Artem Zub in offensive zone
P2 05:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
P2 05:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P2 05:11
Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 05:11
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 03:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Linus Ullmark
P2 02:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 02:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Highmore
P2 01:39
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P2 01:36
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P2 01:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:33
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 01:29
Giveaway by Artem Zub in defensive zone
P2 00:49
Ridly Greig credited with hit on Jake McCabe in neutral zone
P2 00:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P2 00:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Hamonic
P1 19:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P1 18:48
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
P1 18:46
Matthew Highmore won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
P1 18:46
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 18:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 17:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P1 17:03
Giveaway by Chris Tanev in defensive zone
P1 16:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P1 15:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 15:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Highmore
P1 15:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
P1 14:43
SHOT
Travis Hamonic shot blocked by Bobby McMann
P1 14:38
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Chris Tanev
P1 14:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 14:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 14:04
John Tavares won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P1 14:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 14:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 13:25
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P1 13:25
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 12:57
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 12:57
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 12:34
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Shane Pinto
P1 12:32
John Tavares won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 12:32
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 11:42
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 11:39
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P1 11:39
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 11:24
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 11:24
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:10
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 10:55
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P1 10:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 10:36
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
P1 10:36
Stoppage - Icing
P1 10:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 09:45
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Matthew Highmore in defensive zone
P1 09:45
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 09:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 09:23
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P1 09:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 07:58
Shane Pinto won faceoff against William Nylander in neutral zone
P1 07:58
Stoppage - Offside
P1 07:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 07:14
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by David Perron
P1 07:04
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P1 07:04
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:24
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
P1 06:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Gaudette saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Highmore saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 05:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 04:51
SHOT
Michael Amadio shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 04:14
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
P1 03:56
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Scott Laughton
P1 03:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P1 01:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 01:36
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
P1 01:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 01:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Linus Ullmark
P1 00:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 00:34
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 00:34
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 00:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
P1 00:22
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P1 00:17
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 00:17
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
 STATS
Maple Leafs
25Shots on Goal23
47%Faceoff Win %53%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
7Penalty Infraction Mins7
24Hits40
18Shots Blocked13
16Giveaways15
SenatorsOTT
Maple LeafsTOR
25Shots on Goal23
47%Faceoff Win %53%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
7Penalty Infraction Mins7
24Hits40
18Shots Blocked13
16Giveaways15

Game Prediction Article

Nick Slade
Mar 14, 2025
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [3/15/2025]
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Saturday, March 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators +122, Maple Leafs -134

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 45%
  • Maple Leafs: 55%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 45%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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