Houston vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Houston vs. Dallas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Houston vs. Dallas
• Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Houston +180, Dallas +145, Draw +260
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Houston: 27.9%
• Dallas: 47.9%
• Draw: 24.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 1-1 Dallas, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Dallas a win probability of 47.9%, while Houston has a win probability of 27.9%. The chance of a draw is 24.2%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. Dallas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.