Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic will lock horns in the round of 32 of the ATP Almaty Open event on Tuesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Stefanos Tsitsipas as the most likely winner in this Tsitsipas vs. Kovacevic prediction.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tsitsipas vs. Kovacevic prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Tsitsipas-Kovacevic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tsitsipas an 81% chance of winning against Kovacevic at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Tsitsipas has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tsitsipas (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Aleksandar Kovacevic +337, Stefanos Tsitsipas -400
• First Set: Tsitsipas -303, Kovacevic +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tsitsipas @ -400 via DraftKings
• First Set: Kovacevic @ +100 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Stefanos Tsitsipas to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 3:40 AM ET.

• Who: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
• Date: Tuesday, October 20, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:40 AM ET/12:40 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Stefanos Tsitsipas, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Aleksandar Kovacevic at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.