Browns vs. Jets: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Browns vs. Jets prediction for Sunday, October 11, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
NFL sport icon
NFL
Browns
Predicted score
19
:
21
MetLife Stadium
Jets
MetLife Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Jets -1.5
Spread
  • Browns
    47.0%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Jets
    53.0%
    PolymarketPolymarket
Player Props
Browns
Probability
  • Quinshon Judkins
    35.7%
  • Harold Fannin
    32.2%
  • Denzel Boston
    30.0%
  • KC Concepcion
  • Deshaun Watson
Jets
Probability
  • Breece Hall
    44.7%
  • Braelon Allen
    42.3%
  • Garrett Wilson
    38.2%
  • Kenyon Sadiq
  • Adonai Mitchell
Projected Player Stats
Browns Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
D. Watson
Jets Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
G. Smith
Browns Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
Q. Judkins
D. Watson
R. Sanders
Jets Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
B. Allen
B. Hall
G. Smith
Browns Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
D. Boston
K. Concepcion
H. Fannin
J. Jeudy
Q. Judkins
Jets Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
G. Wilson
A. Mitchell
K. Sadiq
I. Williams
B. Hall

Browns vs. Jets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 5

  • Teams: Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: MetLife Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Browns (+1.5, +104), Jets (-1.5, -108)
  • Moneyline: Browns +122, Jets -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points (+104/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Browns: 41.1%
  • Jets: 58.9%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Browns 19-21 Jets.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Browns a win probability of 41.1%, while the Jets have a win probability of 58.9%.

Summary

The Browns face off against the Jets in the NFL at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, October 11, 2026.

Our Browns vs. Jets predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.