Colts vs. Commanders: NFL Week 4 Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Colts
- Commanders
- Jonathan Taylor67.6%
- Tyler Warren35.1%
- Josh Downs32.2%
- Keenan Allen
- Daniel Jones
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt56.5%
- Stefon Diggs27.8%
- Rachaad White24.0%
- Terry McLaurin
- Chig Okonkwo
| Player | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|
| D. Jones |
| Player | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|
| M. Mariota |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | ||
| D. Jones | ||
| S. McGowan |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| J. Croskey-Merritt | ||
| M. Mariota | ||
| R. White |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| J. Downs | ||
| T. Warren | ||
| K. Allen | ||
| J. Taylor | ||
| D. Slayton |
| Player | Touchdown %TD% | Proj. Yards |
|---|---|---|
| T. McLaurin | ||
| S. Diggs | ||
| C. Okonkwo | ||
| A. Williams | ||
| R. White |
Colts vs. Commanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: NFL Week 4
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Time: 9:30AM ET
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Current betting odds
- Spread: Colts (-3.5, +100), Commanders (+3.5, -104)
- Moneyline: Colts -174, Commanders +170
- Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points (-108/+104)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Colts: 63.0%
- Commanders: 37.0%
These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.
Projected final score
Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Colts 25-21 Commanders.
This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
The numbers give the Colts a win probability of 63.0%, while the Commanders have a win probability of 37.0%.
Summary
The Colts face off against the Commanders in the NFL at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026.
Our Colts vs. Commanders predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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