Steelers vs. Patriots: NFL Week 2 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Steelers vs. Patriots prediction for Sunday, September 20, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Steelers
Predicted score
18
:
24
Gillette Stadium
Patriots
Gillette Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Patriots -5.5
Spread
  • Steelers
    47.8%
    NovigNovig
  • Patriots
    52.2%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Steelers
Probability
  • DK Metcalf
    37.2%
  • Rico Dowdle
    30.8%
  • Jaylen Warren
    30.2%
  • Michael Pittman
  • Pat Freiermuth
Patriots
Probability
  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    37.6%
  • TreVeyon Henderson
    36.3%
  • Hunter Henry
    27.2%
  • Romeo Doubs
  • Mack Hollins
Projected Player Stats
Steelers Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
A. Rodgers
Patriots Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
D. Maye
Steelers Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Warren
R. Dowdle
A. Rodgers
Patriots Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
R. Stevenson
T. Henderson
D. Maye
Steelers Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
D. Metcalf
M. Pittman
P. Freiermuth
R. Wilson
D. Washington
Patriots Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
M. Hollins
R. Doubs
H. Henry
D. Douglas
R. Stevenson

Steelers vs. Patriots: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 2

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots
  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Steelers (+5.5, -104), Patriots (-5.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Steelers +217, Patriots -223
  • Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points (-104/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Steelers: 29.3%
  • Patriots: 70.7%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Steelers 18-24 Patriots.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Steelers a win probability of 29.3%, while the Patriots have a win probability of 70.7%.

Summary

The Steelers face off against the Patriots in the NFL at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, September 20, 2026.

Our Steelers vs. Patriots predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.