Patrick Mahomes Player Props Week 9: Chiefs QB in Line for Big Night vs. Buccaneers

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes looks set to continue his team's hot streak on Monday Night Football vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 3, with the Dimers Pro NFL player props prediction model expecting a dominant game from the three-time Super Bowl Champ.

Kansas City are the last remaining undefeated team in the NFL in the 2024 season, and they match up against a Tampa Bay team that are banged up, missing their two best receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin - making this a prime spot for the Chiefs to make it eight straight wins to begin the campaign. 

According to the Dimers NFL player prop predictor, Mahomes is in line to take advantage and dominate, helping bettors end the Week 9 NFL schedule with some winning tickets.

Our Projections for Patrick Mahomes in Buccaneers vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football

The Chiefs are humming along with a 7-0 record, but even despite the perfect run thus far, it's been a somewhat subdued season from Mahomes in terms of pure numbers.

Mahomes has been down on his 2023 return, going at 235 passing yards per game in 2024, compared with 261 yards 12 months ago, and 308 yards in 2022.

But don't let that deter you from taking a gamble on the former Texas Tech man when he suits up against the Buccaneers on Monday night. Mahomes puts up much improved numbers at home this season, with an average of 257.7 passing yards at Arrowhead this year.

Presently, here's how we project Patrick Mahomes to perform in Week 9 vs. the Buccaneers, compared to the sportsbooks' posted lines and odds.

• 292 Passing Yards Projected (Over 247.5 Pass Yards @ -113 with FanDuel)
• 20.4% Anytime Touchdown Probability (+400 at bet365)
• 4.4% First Touchdown Probability (+2200 at bet365)

Based on our Bucs vs. Chiefs prediction, you can see that our model projects Mahomes to not only eclipse his passing line set by the sportsbooks, but smash it easily.

Betting and Fantasy Outlook for Patrick Mahomes

Fantasy managers have been somewhat disappointed with the output of Mahomes during the season so far, ranking 21st among all quarterbacks according to ESPN Fantasy - but this is a great spot against a Buccaneers team that rank in the bottom five of the NFL for passing yards allowed to opposing QB and dead last when it comes to opposing fantasy points given up to the position.

From a betting perspective, our model says you want to bet Patrick Mahomes Over 247.5 Passing Yards at odds of -113.

Additionally, Mahomes' high projection of 291 makes him a perfect candidate for bettors looking at betting a higher alternate line. bet365 currently offer Patrick Mahomes 300+ passing yards at +290. 

🏈 MORE: Full Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

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Our Primetime Parlay for Bucs vs. Chiefs is featured with sportsbook bet365

Dimers' Predictions for Buccaneers vs. Chiefs on Monday, November 3

Bucs vs. Chiefs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Who: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
• Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Chiefs and Buccaneers gear at Fanatics

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Vikings favored at -9.5
• Total (Over/Under): 46
• Moneyline Odds: Chiefs -450, Buccaneers +360

According to Dimers, the Moneyline, Spread, and Total predictions for the game are:

• Moneyline: The Chiefs have a 79% moneyline probability
• Spread: The Buccaneers have a 51% probability to cover the 9.5-point spread
• Total: The game total is projected to go under 46 points

For more analysis on this NFC matchup, Ryan Leaver breaks down every betting angle of Bucs vs. Chiefs.