Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Friday's MLB Game [9/13/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
New York Mets-Philadelphia Phillies Predictions and Game Preview.
Citizens Bank Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies this Friday.

The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, commencing at 6:40PM ET.

The Phillies will send Aaron Nola (12-7, 3.41 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Jose Quintana (8-9, 4.09 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Mets-Phillies game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Phillies' chance of winning is 54% , while the Mets' is 46%."

Mets vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Mets at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to start at 6:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Mets vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Phillies vs. Mets picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

READER EXCLUSIVE: Sign up with code 20BASEBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 54% chance of beating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 59% chance of going over.

 

Mets vs. Phillies Odds [9/13/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Phillies
Run Line +1.5 (-155) -1.5 (+136)
Moneyline +135 -154
Total o8 (-115) u8 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Phillies Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Mets vs. Phillies matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest free picks featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB best bets and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for the NFL and MLB, crafts insightful game previews and betting props for the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM and PGA TOUR tournaments.

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