NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Sunday 2/11/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Sunday 2/11/2024

We have another exciting day of NBA basketball ahead of us, and we've simulated each matchup thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Sunday, February 11, 2024.

Sunday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, De'Aaron Fox and Jalen Williams, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on February 11.



The top sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but finding where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's trusted approach comes into play.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: February 11, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)14.9%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)12.6%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)12.4%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)12.2%
Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics)11.9%
Tyler Herro (Heat)11.5%
Jimmy Butler (Heat)11.4%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)11.2%
Domantas Sabonis (Kings)10.8%
Harrison Barnes (Kings)10.7%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 14.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 12.6% probability, and Jalen Williams, with a 12.4% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Sunday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Sunday 2/11/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday.

1. Harrison Barnes To Score First Basket (+1600)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Kings and Thunder. The bet is on Harrison Barnes (SAC) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.9%.

The next two recommended bets are for Kevin Huerter (2.7% edge) to score first in the Kings vs. Thunder game and De'Aaron Fox (2.6%) to score the first basket, also in the Kings-Thunder matchup.

2. Kevin Huerter To Score First Basket (+1600)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday also comes in the Kings vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 2.7% on Kevin Huerter (SAC) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+900)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Sunday comes in the Kings vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Caleb Martin To Score First Basket (+1500)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Celtics vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Caleb Martin (MIA) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+850)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +850 in the Celtics vs. Heat game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.0% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 11, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 11, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Sunday, February 11, are generated thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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