NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Wednesday 3/6/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Wednesday 3/6/2024

It's time for a big day of NBA basketball, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, March 6, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA slate features players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 6.



All of the best online sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where the best value lies on Wednesday, 3/6.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 6, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)18.9%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)15.4%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)15.2%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)14.2%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)14.1%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)13.9%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)13.7%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)13.4%
Damian Lillard (Bucks)13.1%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)13.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 18.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Kyle Kuzma, with a 15.4% probability, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 15.2% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 3/6/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+800)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Kings and Lakers. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.8%.

The next two recommended bets are for Jalen Green (1.8% edge) to score first in the Clippers vs. Rockets game and Duop Reath (1.7%) to score the first basket in the Thunder vs. Trail Blazers matchup.

2. Jalen Green To Score First Basket (+800)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday comes in the Clippers vs. Rockets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Jalen Green (HOU) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Duop Reath To Score First Basket (+850)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Wednesday comes in the Thunder vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on Duop Reath (POR) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Andrew Wiggins To Score First Basket (+1000)

The next best first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA action comes in the Bucks vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on Andrew Wiggins (GSW) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Kyle Kuzma To Score First Basket (+600)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Wednesday is Kyle Kuzma (WAS) at odds of +600 in the Magic vs. Wizards game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 6, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 6, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Wednesday, March 6, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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