NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Wednesday 2/28/2024

Another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated all of today's matchups thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, February 28, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA slate features players such as Anthony Edwards, Nikola Jokic and De'Aaron Fox, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on February 28.

The best sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value lies on Wednesday, 2/28.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: February 28, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	15.7%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	14.7%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.3%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)	14.3%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	14.3%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	14.2%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.7%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	13.7%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)	13.7%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	12.9%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 15.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Nikola Jokic, with a 14.7% probability, and De'Aaron Fox, with a 14.3% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Wednesday, it does not necessarily mean they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 2/28/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 14.3%
• Game: Kings vs. Nuggets (9:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Kings and Nuggets. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.8%.

The next two suggested bets are for Kawhi Leonard (2.5% edge) to score first in the Lakers vs. Clippers game and Anthony Edwards (2.4%) to score the first basket in the Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves matchup.

2. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 14.3%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Clippers (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Lakers vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.5% on Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 15.7%
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Wednesday comes in the Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 2.4% on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 11%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Bulls (8:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA action comes in the Cavaliers vs. Bulls game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Harrison Barnes To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 8.4%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Nuggets (9:00PM EST)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Wednesday is Harrison Barnes (SAC) at odds of +1400 in the Kings vs. Nuggets game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.7% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 28, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 28, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, February 28, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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