NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Tuesday 3/5/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Tuesday 3/5/2024

Another exciting day of NBA basketball is on the cards, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA slate is expected to feature players such as Tyrese Maxey, Jalen Brunson and Victor Wembanyama, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on March 5.



All of the top sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our advanced computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Tuesday, 3/5.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 5, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)16.4%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)15.7%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)15.6%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)14.9%
RJ Barrett (Raptors)14.2%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)14.1%
Kevin Durant (Suns)13.7%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)13.7%
Bradley Beal (Suns)13.6%
Devin Vassell (Spurs)13.5%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Tyrese Maxey, with a probability of 16.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jalen Brunson, with a 15.7% probability, and Victor Wembanyama, with a 15.6% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 3/5/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday.

1. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+800)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Pistons and Heat. The bet is on Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.0%.

The next two suggested bets are for Bradley Beal (1.8% edge) to score first in the Suns vs. Nuggets game and Evan Mobley (0.9%) to score the first basket in the Celtics vs. Cavaliers matchup.

2. Bradley Beal To Score First Basket (+750)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Bradley Beal (PHX) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Evan Mobley To Score First Basket (+750)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Celtics vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on Evan Mobley (CLE) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Donte DiVincenzo To Score First Basket (+750)

The next best first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA action comes in the Hawks vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on Donte DiVincenzo (NY) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Tuesday slate:

Dimers Pro is coming! From next week, you will be able to access the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Learn more before launch on 3/11/2024!

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 5, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 5, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, March 5, have been generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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