NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Tuesday 3/12/2024

Another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Tuesday, March 12, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA slate features star players such as Anthony Edwards, Tyrese Maxey and Jalen Green, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 12.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 12, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	17.3%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	16.7%
Jalen Green (Rockets)	16.7%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	16.1%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)	15.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.8%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	15.6%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	15.5%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	15.4%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	14.5%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 17.3%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Tyrese Maxey, with a 16.7% probability, and Jalen Green, with a 16.7% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Tuesday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 3/12/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 15.8%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Bucks and Kings. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.7%.

The next two suggested bets are for Keyonte George (2.2% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Jazz game and Pascal Siakam (1.6%) to score the first basket in the Pacers vs. Thunder matchup.

2. Keyonte George To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 10.5%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday comes in the Celtics vs. Jazz game, where our model has found an edge of 2.2% on Keyonte George (UTA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Tuesday's Best NBA Bets](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-tuesday-3122024]

3. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 13.3%
• Game: Pacers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Pacers vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Tuesday's NBA Prop Picks](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-tuesday-march-12-2024]

4. Tyrese Maxey To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: +550
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 16.7%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the 76ers vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Tyrese Maxey (PHI) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Donte DiVincenzo To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 10.6%
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Tuesday is Donte DiVincenzo (NY) at odds of +950 in the 76ers vs. Knicks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Tuesday slate:

• 76ers vs. Knicks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
• Pacers vs. Thunder Prediction (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Wizards vs. Grizzlies Prediction (8:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Celtics vs. Jazz Prediction (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Bucks vs. Kings Prediction (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Timberwolves vs. Clippers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 12, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 12, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, March 12, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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