NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Tuesday 2/27/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Tuesday 2/27/2024

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA action, and we've simulated each matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Tuesday, February 27, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA slate features players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jalen Brunson and Anthony Edwards, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on February 27.



All of the top sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: February 27, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)16.6%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)16.3%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)15.8%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)15.3%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)15.1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)14.8%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)14.8%
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)14.6%
Miles Bridges (Hornets)14.2%
Franz Wagner (Magic)14.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 16.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jalen Brunson, with a 16.3% probability, and Anthony Edwards, with a 15.8% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, which does not always mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Tuesday 2/27/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Tuesday.

1. Buddy Hield To Score First Basket (+1100)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the 76ers and Celtics. The bet is on Buddy Hield (PHI) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.1%.

The next two recommended plays are for Tobias Harris (3.1% edge) to score first in the 76ers vs. Celtics game and Jalen Green (2.9%) to score the first basket in the Rockets vs. Thunder matchup.

2. Tobias Harris To Score First Basket (+1100)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday also comes in the 76ers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 3.1% on Tobias Harris (PHI) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Jalen Green To Score First Basket (+1000)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Rockets vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 2.9% on Jalen Green (HOU) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Evan Mobley To Score First Basket (+850)

The next best first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA action comes in the Mavericks vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.4% on Evan Mobley (CLE) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Tyrese Maxey To Score First Basket (+750)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Tuesday is Tyrese Maxey (PHI) at odds of +750 in the 76ers vs. Celtics game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.2% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 27, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 27, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket picks for Tuesday, February 27, have been made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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