NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 3/7/2024

We have another action-packed day of NBA basketball upon us, and we've simulated all of today's games 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Thursday, March 7, 2024.

Thursday's NBA slate features star players such as Anthony Edwards, Luka Doncic and De'Aaron Fox, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on March 7.

The top online sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but identifying where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's high-tech approach comes into play.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 7, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 17.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 15.2% probability, and De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.0% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Thursday 3/7/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

1. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Suns (9:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Raptors and Suns. The bet is on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.6%.

The next two suggested bets are for Nikola Vucevic (1.3% edge) to score first in the Bulls vs. Warriors game and Myles Turner (1.3%) to score the first basket in the Timberwolves vs. Pacers matchup.

2. Nikola Vucevic To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 13.8%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Bulls vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Nikola Vucevic (CHI) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Myles Turner To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 12.4%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Pacers (7:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Timberwolves vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Myles Turner (IND) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Game: Celtics vs. Nuggets (10:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Celtics vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.1% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Immanuel Quickley To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 10.4%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Suns (9:00PM EST)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Immanuel Quickley (TOR) at odds of +950 in the Raptors vs. Suns game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.9% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 7, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 7, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, March 7, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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