NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 2/29/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 2/29/2024

It's time for a exciting day of NBA action, and we've simulated each game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Thursday, February 29, 2024.

Thursday's NBA slate features players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jalen Brunson and Victor Wembanyama, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on February 29.



All of the best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Thursday, 2/29.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: February 29, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)17.1%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)16.2%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)15.1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)14.4%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)14.4%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)13.6%
Devin Vassell (Spurs)13.4%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)13.3%
Franz Wagner (Magic)13.2%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)13.2%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 17.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jalen Brunson, with a 16.2% probability, and Victor Wembanyama, with a 15.1% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Thursday, it does not necessarily mean they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 2/29/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

1. Jalen Green To Score First Basket (+1000)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Rockets and Suns. The bet is on Jalen Green (HOU) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.6%.

The next two suggested bets are for Collin Sexton (1.9% edge) to score first in the Jazz vs. Magic game and Jamal Murray (1.3%) to score the first basket in the Heat vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Collin Sexton To Score First Basket (+850)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Jazz vs. Magic game, where our model has found an edge of 1.9% on Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+850)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Heat vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. John Collins To Score First Basket (+950)

The next best first basket bet for Thursday's NBA action comes in the Jazz vs. Magic game, where our model has found an edge of 1.0% on John Collins (UTA) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Kyle Kuzma To Score First Basket (+700)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Thursday is Kyle Kuzma (WAS) at odds of +700 in the Wizards vs. Lakers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.8% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 29, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 29, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Thursday, February 29, have been made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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