NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Sunday 3/3/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Sunday 3/3/2024

Another action-packed day of NBA action is on the menu, and we've simulated every game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Sunday, March 3, 2024.

Sunday's NBA slate features star players such as Jalen Brunson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Anthony Edwards, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Sunday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 3.



All of the top sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Sunday, 3/3.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 3, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)16.0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)15.3%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)15.1%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)14.7%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)14.4%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)14.2%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)14.1%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)14.0%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)13.9%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)13.8%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 16.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 15.3% probability, and Anthony Edwards, with a 15.1% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Sunday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 3/3/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday.

1. Jalen Williams To Score First Basket (+950)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Suns. The bet is on Jalen Williams (OKC) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.3%.

The next two recommended plays are for Anthony Edwards (1.8% edge) to score first in the Clippers vs. Timberwolves game and Evan Mobley (1.4%) to score the first basket in the Knicks vs. Cavaliers matchup.

2. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+650)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday comes in the Clippers vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Evan Mobley To Score First Basket (+950)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Sunday comes in the Knicks vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on Evan Mobley (CLE) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+700)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Pistons vs. Magic game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Buddy Hield To Score First Basket (+1000)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Sunday is Buddy Hield (PHI) at odds of +1000 in the 76ers vs. Mavericks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.9% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 3, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 3, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, March 3, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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