NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Saturday 3/2/2024

It's time for a big day of NBA basketball, and we've simulated each matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Saturday, March 2, 2024.

Saturday's NBA games are expected to showcase players such as Jalen Green, Devin Booker and Nikola Jokic, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Saturday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on March 2.

The best online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Saturday, 3/2.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 2, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Green (Rockets)	13.0%
Devin Booker (Suns)	13.0%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	12.9%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	12.8%
LeBron James (Lakers)	12.7%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	12.6%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	12.3%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	12.2%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	12.2%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	12.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Jalen Green, with a probability of 13.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Devin Booker, with a 13.0% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 12.9% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, which does not necessarily mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Saturday 3/2/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Saturday.

1. Jalen Green To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 13%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Suns (9:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Rockets and Suns. The bet is on Jalen Green (HOU) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.9%.

The next two suggested bets are for Collin Sexton (3.0% edge) to score first in the Jazz vs. Heat game and Dillon Brooks (3.0%) to score the first basket in the Rockets vs. Suns matchup.

2. Collin Sexton To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 12.1%
• Matchup: Jazz vs. Heat (5:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Jazz vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 3.0% on Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Dillon Brooks To Score First Basket (+1600)

• Odds: +1600
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 8.8%
• Game: Rockets vs. Suns (9:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Rockets vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 3.0% on Dillon Brooks (HOU) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. John Collins To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 11%
• Game: Jazz vs. Heat (5:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Jazz vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on John Collins (UTA) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Alperen Sengun To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Game: Rockets vs. Suns (9:00PM EST)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Alperen Sengun (HOU) at odds of +800 in the Rockets vs. Suns game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 2, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 2, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket predictions for Saturday, March 2, have been made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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