NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Monday 3/4/2024

We have another action-packed day of professional hoops upon us, and we've simulated every game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Monday, March 4, 2024.

Monday's NBA slate features star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, De'Aaron Fox and Nikola Vucevic, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 4.

All of the best sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday, 3/4.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 4, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	15.6%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.2%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)	13.7%
LeBron James (Lakers)	12.9%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	12.4%
DeMar DeRozan (Bulls)	12.0%
Domantas Sabonis (Kings)	11.5%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	11.5%
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)	9.5%
Coby White (Bulls)	9.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 15.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 14.2% probability, and Nikola Vucevic, with a 13.7% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Monday 3/4/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Jalen Williams To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 12.4%
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Lakers. The bet is on Jalen Williams (OKC) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.9%.

The next two recommended bets are for De'Aaron Fox (1.7% edge) to score first in the Bulls vs. Kings game and Ayo Dosunmu (0.1%) to score the first basket, also in the Bulls-Kings matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 14.2%
• Game: Bulls vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Bulls vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Ayo Dosunmu To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 9.2%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Bulls vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Ayo Dosunmu (CHI) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Monday slate:

• Bulls vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• Thunder vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET, Monday)

Dimers Pro is coming! From next week, you will be able to access the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Learn more before launch on 3/11/2024!

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 4, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 4, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Monday, March 4, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.