NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Monday 2/26/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Monday 2/26/2024

It's time for a big day of NBA action, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, February 26, 2024.

Monday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Jalen Brunson, De'Aaron Fox and Cam Thomas, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on February 26.

The best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our advanced machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday, 2/26.

These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: February 26, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) 16.4%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings) 14.2%
Cam Thomas (Nets) 14.0%
Bam Adebayo (Heat) 12.9%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons) 12.4%
Mikal Bridges (Nets) 12.4%
RJ Barrett (Raptors) 12.4%
Donte DiVincenzo (Knicks) 12.3%
Domantas Sabonis (Kings) 12.2%
Tyler Herro (Heat) 12.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 16.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are De'Aaron Fox, with a 14.2% probability, and Cam Thomas, with a 14.0% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, which does not always mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Monday 2/26/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Harrison Barnes To Score First Basket (+1400)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Heat and Kings. The bet is on Harrison Barnes (SAC) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.3%.

The next two suggested plays are for De'Aaron Fox (1.7% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Kings game and Pascal Siakam (1.5%) to score the first basket in the Raptors vs. Pacers matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+700)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday also comes in the Heat vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+850)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Raptors vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+800)

The next best first basket bet for Monday's NBA action comes in the Raptors vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+850)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Monday is Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +850 in the Raptors vs. Pacers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.0% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: February 26, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for February 26, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday, February 26, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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