NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Friday 3/15/2024

Another action-packed day of NBA action is on the cards, and we've simulated all of today's matchups 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Friday, March 15, 2024.

Friday's NBA slate features big names such as Dejounte Murray, Victor Wembanyama and Cade Cunningham, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Friday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on March 15.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 15, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	15.7%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	14.6%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)	14.4%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	13.5%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	13.4%
Immanuel Quickley (Raptors)	13.0%
Devin Vassell (Spurs)	12.9%
Paolo Banchero (Magic)	12.5%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	12.5%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	12.3%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Dejounte Murray, with a probability of 15.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Victor Wembanyama, with a 14.6% probability, and Cade Cunningham, with a 14.4% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, which does not always indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 3/15/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

1. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 15.7%
• Game: Hawks vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Hawks and Jazz. The bet is on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.3%.

The next two suggested plays are for Simone Fontecchio (2.0% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Pistons game and Kelly Olynyk (1.7%) to score the first basket in the Magic vs. Raptors matchup.

2. Simone Fontecchio To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 9.7%
• Game: Heat vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday comes in the Heat vs. Pistons game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on Simone Fontecchio (DET) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Friday's Best NBA Bets](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-friday-3152024]

3. Kelly Olynyk To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 10.8%
• Game: Magic vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Friday comes in the Magic vs. Raptors game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on Kelly Olynyk (TOR) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Friday's NBA Prop Picks](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-friday-march-15-2024]

4. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Game: Heat vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Friday's NBA action comes in the Heat vs. Pistons game, where our model has found an edge of 1.1% on Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Friday slate:

• Heat vs. Pistons Prediction (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Magic vs. Raptors Prediction (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Hawks vs. Jazz Prediction (9:30PM ET, Friday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 15, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 15, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, March 15, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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