Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [3/7/2024]

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Written by Kevin Hansen
Miami Heat vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [3/7/2024]

The Dallas Mavericks will face the Miami Heat in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Thursday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview for Thursday's Heat vs. Mavericks matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

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Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used innovative machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Heat and Mavericks 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Mavericks a 62% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Mavericks winning 116-112.

According to our model, the Heat (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 230 points has a 53% chance of going under.

Heat vs. Mavericks Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Heat Mavericks
Spread +4.5 (+100) -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline +164 -188
Total o230 (-112) u230 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Heat vs. Mavericks Picks

Our predictions, matched with the listed odds, reveal the top betting picks for this game, detailed in Dimers' best NBA bets for Thursday, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Heat +4.5 +100
Moneyline Heat +164
Total Under 230 -108

While the Mavericks are more likely to win the game, betting on the Heat moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Heat vs. Mavericks Player Props

Looking for Heat vs. Mavericks NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project individual points, assists, rebounds and three-pointers for each team.

Bam Adebayo is expected to step up for the Heat with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 5 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 37 points, 8 rebounds and 11 assists for the Mavericks.

Heat Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Bam Adebayo 22 10 5 0
Terry Rozier 21 4 7 2
Jimmy Butler 20 5 6 1
Duncan Robinson 15 3 4 3
Jaime Jaquez 11 4 3 1

**MORE: [NBA First Basket Predictions for Thursday](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-first-basket-predictions-odds-and-value-bets-today-thursday-372024

Mavericks Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Mavericks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Luka Doncic 37 8 11 5
Kyrie Irving 26 5 6 4
P.J. Washington 16 6 3 2
Tim Hardaway 9 2 1 2
Josh Green 8 4 2 1

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out Thursday's NBA prop picks.

Heat vs. Mavs Game Information

Thursday's action between the Mavericks and Heat at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Heat vs. Mavericks includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Calling Our Shot 🏀 Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the free picks featured below.

Conclusion

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate Heat vs. Mavericks insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on NBA

Stay informed with the latest NBA betting news and our analytics-driven NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the NBA Finals, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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