Astros vs. Padres Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Monday's MLB Game [9/16/2024]

The San Diego Padres and Houston Astros will meet in MLB action at PETCO Park on Monday, starting at 9:40PM ET.

The Padres will send Yu Darvish (5-3, 3.52 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Spencer Arrighetti (7-12, 4.72 ERA) for the Astros.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Padres as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Astros-Padres game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Padres are likely to win, with a probability of 52%, compared to the Astros' 48%."

Astros vs. Padres Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's MLB action between the Padres and Astros at PETCO Park is scheduled to commence at 9:40PM ET.

• Who: Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
• Date: Monday, September 16, 2024
• Time: 9:40PM ET/6:40PM PT
• Venue: PETCO Park
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Padres and Astros gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's full preview of Monday's Astros vs. Padres matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Padres vs. Astros picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Astros vs. Padres Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Padres 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Padres a 52% chance of beating the Astros.

According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.

Astros vs. Padres Odds [9/16/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Astros	Padres
Run Line	-1.5 (+168)	+1.5 (-205)
Moneyline	+100	-118
Total	o7.5 (-120)	u7.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Astros vs. Padres Picks

Our model's biggest edge in the Astros vs. Padres matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the free picks featured below.

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Conclusion

We predict the Padres, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Padres insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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