Nuggets v. Warriors +575 No-Sweat Same Game Parlay for Sunday

Fresh off last night's +625 parlay cash, DraftKings is giving us another no-sweat parlay token so we're cooking up another SGP in the NBA on Sunday night! By using our player prop bets and trends sourced from our predictive analytics model, we've made a three-leg NBA Parlay that clocks in at +575 odds. Let's break down the key player prop bets and trends that give us a data-backed shot at a profitable NBA Sunday.

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Get A No-Sweat Parlay on DraftKings

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That means if this parlay loses for any reason, we'll get our wager back as a bonus bet to use again!

If you've already got DraftKings, just head to the Promos tab and opt-in to the NBA No-Sweat offer, and remember to add it to your betslip before betting.  

+575 Nuggets vs. Warriors No-Sweat Parlay Tonight

1. Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Three-Pointers (-120)

There's nothing we love more than edges on star players and we've got that in spades for today's NBA slate. Featured in our Top 10 NBA Player Props, Stephen Curry gets a 59% probability to go over this mark. Our model identified a strong edge this morning when you could get him at +100, and even though his odds for this are -120 in the SGP, we still get a 4.5% edge. He's hit this in 9 of his last 15 games and he's projected for 5.4 3PM tonight.

2. Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists (-130)

The next leg of this no-sweat SGP is for Warriors veteran Draymond Green to clear his 5.5 assists line. This prop is another one of our model's best bets of the day, even though we've also seen line movement here. Draymond gets a 62% probability of hitting his over, a substantial edge even at his new odds of -130. Even better, we're projecting him for a full 2+ assists higher, with our projection coming in at 7.6 in this game. He's gone over in 8 of 16 games since returning from suspension, fora  50% clip, but this correlates well with our Steph Curry prop, as Draymond loves kicking it out to his star sharpshooter.

Create your own parlay, using the factors most important to you, right here.

3. Nikola Jokic Over Alt. 10.5 Assists (+135)

For our final leg, we're taking an alternate line strongly supported by our model's projections, and one we're no stranger to taking this year. Nikola Jokic is once again projected for a triple-double in our Nuggets vs. Warriors game prediction, a 27-12-12 TD at that. Meanwhile, his standard assists line is set at 9.5, and while that makes a fair play on its own, we're going to take the plus money at the alternate line for this no-sweat parlay.

Longshot edition: The Joker is one of our model's most likely First FG scorers tonight, so if you really want to juice up the no-sweat, take him for the first bucket in this parlay as well.

NBA Parlay Picks: February 25, 2024

Having simulated each of tonight's NBA games over 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the three best player props to use in a prop bets parlay.

By combining these three player prop bets, bettors can construct a compelling parlay with enticing +575 odds. As each bet is grounded in recent player trends and statistics, the parlay becomes a strategic play that adds an extra layer of excitement to this little three-game slate on Sunday night. As always, it's essential to approach sports betting with a thoughtful strategy and an awareness of the inherent risks. Good luck to all those placing their bets on this thrilling NBA night!

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