NBA Playoffs Lakers vs. Blazers Game 4: Predictions, picks and bets

The rumors of the Los Angeles Lakers’ demise are greatly exaggerated.

The Lakers are back in business and 2-1 up in their first-round series against the Portland Trail Blazers. With the Game 1 loss seemingly well and truly behind them, LA can make it 3-1 in Game 4, as per our Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Blazers to cover +7.5
💵Money Line: Blazers (+270*)
👆Over/Under: o224.5 Total Points
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BEST: Spread
Trail Blazers +7.5 has a 53% probability

The Trail Blazers came into the first round of the postseason with all the momentum, coming off the back of an impressive two weeks in the seeding games to force their way into a play-in tournament against the Memphis Grizzlies that they won easily to force their way into the playoffs and a match up against the Lakers.

It didn’t surprise anyone to see Portland claim an upset win against LA in Game 1, with some pundits predicting that they might even claim an unlikely sweep.

Since then, the Blazers we’ve come to know have been put back into their shells by a rampaging LA Lakers team who have been able to control the pace.

Our predictive model suggests Blazers’ head coach Terry Stotts can make the necessary adjustments to return to the sort of form that saw them shock LeBron James and co. in Game 1.

Money Line
Trail Blazers +270 is a 2.1% edge vs. sportsbooks

Portland already knows the recipe to beat the Lakers; keep Davis away from the post and force their role players in Caldwell-Pope and Green to beat them from the perimeter. It’s easier said than done, but the Trail Blazers have shown they’re capable of executing the plan.

While they’re not favored by the sportsbooks, or our predictive analytics model (28% probability), we still believe they are worth a play at the odds on offer as they are simply far too good for bettors not to have a small bet on Portland causing another upset.

Over/Under
o224.5 Points has a 51% probability

The key to the Lakers' success in this series so far is their ability to somewhat limit the Blazers on offense. In the five games prior to this series, Portland averaged 124 points per game. The only way they get back into this series to level it up is to return to that fast-paced offense. Take the Over here.

Dimers' take-out

Portland no doubt took a morale hit losing the past two games after the highs they experienced in Game 1. Our model predicts this series still has a lot left in it. Look for the Blazers to get back on track and at least cover the spread. You can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, here.

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