NBA Playoffs Bucks vs. Magic Game 4: Predictions, picks and bets

Before the series, Bucks fans would have penciled in Game 4 of this first-round match up against Orlando to be the one in which they claimed a clean sweep. Instead, the Magic go into the contest with a chance to level it up at 2-2.

After Orlando’s shock win in Game 1, the Bucks have been more methodical since, crushing the Magic by double-digits in Games 2 and 3.

Will Milwaukee get that decisive 3-1 lead, or will Orlando spring another surprise? Game 4 Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Magic to cover +13.5
💵Money Line: Magic (+750*)
👆Over/Under: o225.5 Total Points
🚨Best online sportsbooks here

BEST: Spread
Magic +13.5 is a 55% chance to cover

The Bucks have certainly been more impressive since Game 1, but our predictive analysis believes the Magic cover the spread here with a high probability.

The key to this will be locking down Milwaukee’s supporting cast. Giannis Antetkonunmpo is an automatic 30. The Magic can’t stop that, nobody can. But they can limit the impact of Lopez and Middleton. Our model believes Orlando can do that sufficiently in order to cover.

Money Line
Magic H2H has a 4.1% edge vs. the sportsbooks

Going back to Game 1, the DimersBOT was able to correctly predict that the Magic were a value pick at the money line. While the Bucks are comfortable favorites, our predictive model is once again recommending taking Orlando at the money line for some value. They’ve shown they can match up well enough against Milwaukee to spring a surprise. While our probabilities suggest there's only a 15 per cent chance of that happening, at those odds we don’t want to totally discount it.

Over/Under
o222.5 has a 51% probability

Two of the three games so far in this series have gone Over and we’re expecting that trend to continue today. Orlando C Nikola Vucevic has been on a tear in this series, averaging 29 points. Combine that with the output of the Greek Freak – who is averaging 31 – and you get the recipe for a bucketfest. Take the Over. Speaking of bucketfest's, you can get $3 for every 3-pointer your team scores with PointsBet.

New to PointsBet? Get $100 in Free Bets if you join today.

Dimers' take-out

This Game 4 was supposed to be the Bucks coronation, but the Magic had other ideas and took Game 1 to send it to at least 5. The Bucks are the favored consensus pick, but value bettors would certainly be taking a risk on the Magic for a big return. If you're keen to tail any of our picks, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks here.

🔥 Picks for Game 4 of Rockets vs. Thunder

🔥 Picks for Game 4 of Pacers vs. Heat

🔥 Picks for Game 4 of Lakers vs. Blazers