NBA 2020 Playoffs Clippers vs. Nuggets Game 6: Predictions, picks and bets

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
NBA 2020 Playoffs Clippers vs. Nuggets Game 6: Predictions, picks and bets

Two days ago, the Denver Nuggets found themselves with a mountain to climb, trailing 3-1 in the series. They enter Game 6 with a renewed sense of enthusiasm after pulling off a timely Game 5 win against the LA Clippers.

For the Clips, the heat is turned up once again on a team that has more expectations than most. A loss in Game 6 could prove to be catastrophic.

Will the Nuggets force a Game 7, or will LA take care of business? New DraftKings customers get a $500 Matched Deposit and $500 Risk Free Bet when you join with Dimers. That's $1,000 in bonuses on sign up! JOIN HERE.

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup
 

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Nuggets +8 (-110*)
💵Moneyline: Nuggets  (+290*)
👆Over/Under: o213.5 points (-110*)
🚨 Best online sportsbooks here

 

BEST
Spread: Nuggets +8 has a 53% probability

The sportsbooks are giving us 8 points on the Nuggets? It almost seems too good to be true, just like some of the NFL Sunday promos the books are throwing at us this weekend.

We’re going to take full advantage of this generosity and take Denver to cover the spread. The Nuggets did find themselves in a bit of a hole but their win in Game 5 puts this series well and truly back on the line. Our predictive model thinks Denver’s depth will overcome this huge line.

 

Moneyline
Nuggets H2H (+290*) has a 0.6% edge on the sportsbooks

The Clippers go into this one as favorite, but we feel like there is far too much value in taking Denver at the moneyline here. LA is good, but they’re not formidable. Attacking Paul George is key for Denver. If he has another off night, as he has so often throughout this postseason, the Nuggs will cash.

 

Over/Under
o213.5 points (-110*) has a 51% probability

Playoff series are always low scoring affairs as the pressure intensifies and the pace slows. This series started off with the sportsbooks setting high point total lines in the 220s which consistently went under in the first five games. The books have since made the adjustment, setting this total at 213.5, but our DimersBOT thinks they may have gone too low. Three of the five have gone over 213.

 

Dimers' take-out

Value and opportunity throughout the betting markets here. Denver is far too good to give up on this series and will push the Clippers all the way. We have a sneaking suspicion we may be back again for Game 7. Want to make a bet on this game? Check out THE BEST sportsbooks online here.

 

*odds are correct at time of publishing

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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