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Cowboys vs. Commanders Preview and Prediction

Our Cowboys vs. Commanders preview, analysis and predictions for December 25, 2025, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
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NFL
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NFL
Cowboys
Predicted score
28
:
22
Dec 25, 6PM Northwest Stadium
Commanders
Dec 25, 6PM Northwest Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 2:45PM, Dec 23
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Cowboys DAL
Commanders + 7.0
Spread
43%
57%
Commanders WAS
Player Props
Anytime Touchdown
First Touchdown
Cowboys
Probability
Javonte Williams
50.9%
George Pickens
44.2%
CeeDee Lamb
42.5%
Jake Ferguson
Ryan Flournoy
Commanders
Probability
Chris Rodriguez
50.4%
Terry McLaurin
39.2%
Deebo Samuel
32.6%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Treylon Burks
Projected Player Stats
Cowboys Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
D. Prescott
Commanders Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
J. Johnson
Cowboys Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Williams
M. Davis
D. Prescott
Commanders Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
C. Rodriguez
J. Croskey-Merritt
J. Johnson
Cowboys Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
C. Lamb
G. Pickens
J. Ferguson
R. Flournoy
J. Williams
Commanders Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
T. McLaurin
D. Samuel
T. Burks
B. Sinnott
J. Bates

Game Prediction Article

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Cowboys vs. Commanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cowboys favored at -7
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cowboys -315, Commanders +265

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cowboys: 69%
  • Commanders: 31%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Cowboys 28-22 Commanders.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cowboys a win probability of 69%, while the Commanders have a win probability of 31%.

Summary

The Cowboys face off against the Commanders in the NFL at Northwest Stadium on Thursday, December 25, 2025. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Cowboys vs. Commanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL picks, NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.

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