- Predictions
Heat vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Pistons NBA game on March 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
101
Mar 17, 7PM Little Caesars Arena
Mar 17, 7PM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 21 | 39 | 19 | 25 | 104 |
Pistons | 23 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
98%
2%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 21 | 39 | 19 | 25 | 104 |
Pistons | 23 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 101 |
Q4 00:01 Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)
Q4 00:09 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Terry Rozier misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:15 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
Q4 2:13 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Instant replay
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)
104-101
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
101-101
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
103-99
Instant replay
Pistons 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses two point driving layup
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
101-99
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
100-96
Pistons personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
101-96
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
97-96
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-93
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-92
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
95-92
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
95-90
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-90
Heat personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-89
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-90
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Cade Cunningham blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
90-88
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
97-92
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Patty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-85
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
87-85
Heat 60 second timeout
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
+1
James Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-88
+1
James Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-88
Caleb Martin shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
87-81
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-78
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-78
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
84-78
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
84-76
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
81-76
James Wiseman jump ball violation
James Wiseman turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. James Wiseman (Heat gains possession)
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point stepback jump shot
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
James Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-75
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
James Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-76
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
79-74
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
79-72
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Delon Wright misses two point tip layup
Delon Wright offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
79-68
Heat personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-69
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright)
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson blocks Evan Fournier's two point running layup
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
79-66
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Pistons violation
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-63
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-63
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
77-63
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-60
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright)
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Isaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Jalen Duren misses two point driving layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-60
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
74-60
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-58
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
73-58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-56
Pistons turnover
Pistons 60 second timeout
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Haywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-56
Haywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-56
Pistons personal foul
Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
68-56
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-54
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-54
+2
Jalen Duren makes two point layup (Jaden Ivey assists)
68-56
Jaden Ivey offensive rebound
Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-52
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-52
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
60-52
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey)
+2
Delon Wright makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)
60-50
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
58-52
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-50
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
56-50
Pistons personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-48
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Delon Wright)
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-48
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
54-48
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-46
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
52-46
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Delon Wright)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
52-43
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-43
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
47-43
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
47-41
Pistons personal foul
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
44-41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-38
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-38
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-38
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
40-38
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
40-36
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart)
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
37-36
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-36
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Jaden Ivey misses two point driving layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-36
+2
Evan Fournier makes two point jump shot
30-36
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-34
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons personal foul
James Wiseman turnover
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Evan Fournier)
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
28-34
Stanley Umude offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
28-32
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
25-32
Heat turnover
Pistons personal foul
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
25-29
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
25-26
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
25-24
Pistons turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Evan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 1
23-24
Pistons offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup
23-24
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Stanley Umude blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
21-23
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Evan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-20
Evan Fournier misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stanley Umude defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Thomas Bryant, Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
21-19
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
18-19
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
18-17
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Jaden Ivey, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-14
Heat turnover
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
18-14
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant)
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-14
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
13-14
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-11
Heat 60 second timeout
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-9
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Jaden Ivey blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup
Heat personal foul
Jaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-7
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
13-6
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-4
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-4
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
9-4
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-2
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup
13-4
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-0
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Jalen Duren blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Jalen Duren's two point layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
(Terry Rozier gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| F | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 15 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 29 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 2 | T. Rozier | 17 | 5 | 8 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 17 | 16 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 31 | E. Fournier | 18 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 15 | 4 | 8 |
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 11 | 9 | 1 |
| F | 28 | I. Stewart | 9 | 6 | 1 |
| F | 19 | S. Fontecchio | 13 | 8 | 2 |
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Heat vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Pistons
- Date: Sunday, March 17, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 214.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -215, Pistons +180
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 65%
- Pistons: 35%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 109-105 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 65%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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