- Predictions
Heat vs. Pistons Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Pistons NBA game on March 15, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
108
95
Mar 15, 11PM Little Caesars Arena
Mar 15, 11PM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 29 | 28 | 24 | 108 |
Pistons | 28 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 95 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 29 | 28 | 24 | 108 |
Pistons | 28 | 26 | 18 | 23 | 95 |
Q4 00:11 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Terry Rozier misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:53 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
108-95
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Jamal Cain, Haywood Highsmith)
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Tosan Evbuomwan, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude, Malachi Flynn)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
108-93
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
108-91
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-89
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
106-89
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-86
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
104-86
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
104-83
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Patty Mills)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Patty Mills)
Heat personal foul
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-83
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
100-83
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
100-83
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Pistons turnover
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-81
Pistons personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
97-81
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Heat personal foul
+1
Evan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-80
+1
Evan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-81
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, James Wiseman, Evan Fournier, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-79
Pistons 60 second timeout
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
James Wiseman blocks Thomas Bryant's two point layup
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-79
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
90-79
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-77
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
88-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-75
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
86-75
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-72
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-72
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
83-72
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
83-69
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, James Wiseman, Evan Fournier, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Evan Fournier, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude)
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
83-67
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-65
Pistons turnover
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
80-65
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-65
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 3
73-65
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 3
74-65
Terry Rozier misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Marcus Sasser)
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat turnover
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-65
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-65
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Marcus Sasser)
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
68-65
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Pistons personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-63
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-63
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
66-63
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
66-61
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-58
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
64-58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-56
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-56
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-56
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
58-56
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-54
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
56-54
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
54-52
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-50
Heat personal foul
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-50
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
53-49
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Marcus Sasser)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-47
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
51-47
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-45
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Terry Rozier misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-45
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
48-45
Heat turnover
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Stanley Umude)
Pistons personal foul
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-41
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-42
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
50-40
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
48-45
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat challenge timeout
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Stanley Umude)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-40
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point layup
45-40
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Simone Fontecchio shooting foul
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-40
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
39-40
Heat personal foul
Patty Mills turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
39-37
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-35
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
37-35
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
34-35
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
34-33
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Simone Fontecchio turnover (offensive foul)
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-32
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-33
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser)
Heat turnover
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
32-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-28
Pistons personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-28
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Evan Fournier, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-28
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-28
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Patty Mills, Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-28
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 3
24-28
Terry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Patty Mills)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, James Wiseman, Evan Fournier, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser)
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 3 of 3
25-28
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
23-28
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
23-26
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin turnover (lost ball)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
23-23
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Evan Fournier, Jaden Ivey, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude)
Heat personal foul
+1
Evan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 1
23-21
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Simone Fontecchio turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Simone Fontecchio technical foul (Flopping)
+1
Terry Rozier makes technical free throw 1 of 1
23-20
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-20
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
James Wiseman offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-20
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
18-20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Evan Fournier, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude)
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Terry Rozier blocks Cade Cunningham's two point fadeaway jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
18-17
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham)
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-15
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
16-15
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-13
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
14-13
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 1
14-11
Nikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Simone Fontecchio steals)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
14-10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-7
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
14-7
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
11-7
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-5
Nikola Jovic shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
Duncan Robinson blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point running layup
Jimmy Butler misses two point running layup
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-3
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-4
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
9-2
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-2
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey)
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo)
Bam Adebayo (Nikola Jovic gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| F-G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| C-F | 31 | T. Bryant | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 12 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 16 | 2 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 28 | I. Stewart | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| G-F | 31 | E. Fournier | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| C | 13 | J. Wiseman | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 23 | J. Ivey | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| G | 25 | M. Sasser | 3 | 2 | 1 |
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Heat vs. Pistons: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Pistons
- Date: Friday, March 15, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -325, Pistons +270
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 75%
- Pistons: 25%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 113-105 Pistons.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 75%, while the Pistons have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Little Caesars Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Pistons predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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