- Predictions
Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Heat NBA game on March 13, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
100
88
Mar 13, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
Mar 13, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 26 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 100 |
Heat | 19 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 88 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 26 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 100 |
Heat | 19 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 88 |
Q4 00:26 Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:07 Duncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:19 Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 1:42 Terry Rozier misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 2:44 Aaron Gordon misses two point driving layup
Q4 2:57 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:24 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup
100-88
Michael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
100-86
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
97-86
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)
Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-85
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-86
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Heat personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-84
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point driving layup
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
94-84
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
91-84
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-84
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
89-82
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-82
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
87-80
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
85-80
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-80
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
83-77
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point tip dunk
83-80
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
Nuggets turnover
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
81-75
Heat personal foul
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
79-75
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-75
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
77-73
+2
Thomas Bryant makes two point putback layup
81-75
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Thomas Bryant misses two point tip layup
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Nuggets personal foul
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
75-71
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday)
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
72-71
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat personal foul
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
70-71
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-71
Nuggets turnover
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-69
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
67-67
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-67
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-65
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
64-63
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
62-63
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-63
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-60
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-61
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-59
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
59-59
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point tip layup
62-63
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
57-56
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Terry Rozier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-56
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-54
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
55-52
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
55-49
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-49
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
55-52
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
50-47
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)
Heat personal foul
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-44
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-44
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-44
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-44
Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler blocks Jamal Murray's two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-42
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-40
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-38
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-38
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson)
Heat personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-37
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-38
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
43-36
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-36
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
41-34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-34
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-31
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-32
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
38-30
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-29
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-30
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
35-28
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-27
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-28
Patty Mills offensive rebound
Justin Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
33-26
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-26
Nuggets personal foul
Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
Thomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-24
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
30-23
Heat turnover
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
28-23
Heat turnover
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-22
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-23
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point driving layup
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-21
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday, Zeke Nnaji)
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-19
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point bank jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-17
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Justin Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
26-15
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-15
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-13
Heat personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
23-11
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-11
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Reggie Jackson misses two point driving layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson, Justin Holiday)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-11
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
21-9
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Reggie Jackson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
19-9
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-9
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
16-9
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
14-9
Heat turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
12-9
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
9-9
Heat turnover
Nuggets turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-9
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
6-7
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
6-4
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses two point tip layup
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
4-4
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
2-4
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-4
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)
(Jamal Murray gains possession)
Best Sportsbook Promotions
Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks? Loading...
Nuggets vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, March 13, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -138, Heat +135
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 63%
- Heat: 37%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 110-107 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 63%, while the Heat have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
Related Articles
More Articles Loading...
22,000+ 
70,000+ 
10,000,000+ 
